investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueAquila European Renewables Income PLC (AERI.L)

Previous Close£0.27
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£0.27

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Aquila European Renewables Income PLC is a closed-end investment fund specializing in renewable energy assets across continental Europe and Ireland. The company focuses on generating long-term, income-based returns for investors through a diversified portfolio of wind, solar PV, and hydropower projects. By targeting stable, inflation-linked cash flows from operational renewable assets, Aquila positions itself as a key player in the sustainable energy investment space, catering to income-seeking investors. The fund’s strategic emphasis on geographic and technological diversification mitigates risks associated with single-market or single-technology exposure. Operating in the competitive asset management sector, Aquila differentiates itself through its niche focus on renewable infrastructure, which aligns with Europe’s accelerating energy transition. Its market position is reinforced by its ability to secure high-quality, operational assets with long-term revenue visibility, making it an attractive option for ESG-conscious investors.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In the latest fiscal period, Aquila reported negative revenue and net income, reflecting challenges in its investment portfolio. The diluted EPS stood at -€0.073, indicating pressure on profitability. However, the company generated €8.75 million in operating cash flow, suggesting underlying cash-generating capacity from its renewable assets. The absence of capital expenditures points to a focus on maintaining rather than expanding its current asset base.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Aquila’s earnings power is primarily driven by the cash flows from its renewable energy assets, which are designed to provide stable, long-term returns. The negative net income highlights short-term volatility, but the positive operating cash flow underscores the fund’s ability to generate liquidity. With no debt on its balance sheet, the company maintains a clean capital structure, enhancing its financial flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company’s balance sheet shows €1.17 million in cash and equivalents, with no outstanding debt, indicating a strong liquidity position. The absence of leverage reduces financial risk, though the negative equity position due to accumulated losses warrants monitoring. The fund’s financial health is supported by its asset-backed investment strategy, which provides inherent stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Aquila’s growth is tied to the performance and expansion of its renewable energy portfolio. The company paid a dividend of €0.0425 per share, reflecting its commitment to delivering income despite profitability challenges. Future growth will depend on its ability to acquire additional high-quality assets and optimize existing holdings, leveraging Europe’s renewable energy boom.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of €240.1 million and a beta of 0.44, Aquila is perceived as a lower-risk investment relative to the broader market. The negative earnings and revenue figures may weigh on valuation, but the fund’s focus on renewable energy and income generation aligns with growing investor interest in sustainable assets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Aquila’s strategic advantage lies in its specialized focus on renewable energy infrastructure, a sector with strong regulatory and macroeconomic tailwinds. The fund’s outlook is positive, supported by Europe’s energy transition goals, though its ability to stabilize profitability and expand its asset base will be critical. Investors should monitor its portfolio performance and dividend sustainability in the coming periods.

Sources

Company description, financial data from provided metrics

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount