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Intrinsic Value of Air Lease Corporation (AL)

Previous Close$39.97
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$39.97

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %11.0NaN
Revenue, $2317NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m2456NaN
Operating income, $m-139NaN
EBITDA, $m928NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m-180NaN
Tax expense, $m-42NaN
Net income, $m-139NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m780NaN
Total assets, $m28397NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m27617NaN
Average production assets, $m23757NaN
Working capital, $m83NaN
Total debt, $m21264NaN
Total liabilities, $m21750NaN
Total equity, $m6646NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio3.199NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.307NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-139NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1067NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m1382NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3404NaN
Free cash flow, $m4786NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m83
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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