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Intrinsic ValueActicor Biotech SAS (ALACT.PA)

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Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
0.25

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2018 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Acticor Biotech SAS is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing innovative treatments for acute thrombotic diseases, particularly ischemic stroke and cardiovascular emergencies. Its lead candidate, glenzocimab, is a humanized monoclonal antibody fragment targeting a specific platelet glycoprotein, designed to reduce thrombotic complications without increasing bleeding risks. The company's pipeline includes two Phase II/III registration trials for ischemic stroke and two Phase II trials addressing cardiovascular emergencies and Covid-19 respiratory distress syndrome, positioning it in the high-need but competitive stroke and thrombosis therapeutics market. Acticor operates in the biotechnology sector, where success hinges on clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, and strategic partnerships. Its niche focus on acute thrombotic events differentiates it from broader cardiovascular players, though it faces significant competition from established pharmaceutical companies and other biotech innovators. The company’s ability to advance glenzocimab through late-stage trials and demonstrate clinical efficacy will be critical to securing market adoption and potential commercialization partnerships.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Acticor Biotech reported no revenue in FY 2023, reflecting its pre-commercial stage as a clinical development company. The net loss stood at €18.64 million, driven by R&D expenses tied to advancing glenzocimab through clinical trials. Operating cash flow was negative €13.02 million, underscoring the capital-intensive nature of its business model, while capital expenditures remained minimal at €20,000, consistent with its asset-light approach.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -€0.0015 highlights its current lack of earnings power, typical for a biotech firm in clinical development. Capital efficiency is constrained by high R&D burn rates, with cash reserves of €3.89 million as of FY 2023. Acticor’s ability to fund ongoing trials will depend on additional financing or partnerships, given its reliance on external capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Acticor’s balance sheet shows €3.89 million in cash and equivalents against €5.87 million in total debt, indicating a tight liquidity position. The negative operating cash flow and limited cash runway suggest near-term financing needs to sustain operations. Financial health remains precarious, typical of clinical-stage biotechs, with solvency contingent on successful trial outcomes or capital raises.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth prospects hinge on clinical trial progress, with Phase II/III data for glenzocimab in ischemic stroke being a key catalyst. The company does not pay dividends, reinvesting all resources into R&D. Future value creation will depend on regulatory milestones, partnership deals, or potential commercialization, though near-term revenue generation remains unlikely.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €3.94 million and no revenue, Acticor’s valuation reflects high-risk speculation on its clinical pipeline. The negative beta of -0.264 suggests low correlation with broader markets, typical for micro-cap biotech stocks. Investors appear to discount near-term challenges, focusing instead on binary outcomes from upcoming trial results.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Acticor’s strategic advantage lies in its targeted approach to thrombotic diseases, with glenzocimab offering a differentiated mechanism of action. However, the outlook remains highly uncertain, dependent on clinical success and funding. Positive trial data could attract partnerships or acquisition interest, while setbacks may necessitate further dilution. The company’s fate is tied to its ability to navigate the high-stakes biotech development pathway.

Sources

Company filings, Euronext Paris disclosures

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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