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Intrinsic Value of Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR)

Previous Close$12.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Alarum Technologies Ltd. operates in the cybersecurity and internet privacy sector, specializing in advanced solutions that protect digital identities and secure online activities. The company generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services, offering proprietary software tools that enable anonymous browsing, data encryption, and secure access to restricted content. Its flagship products cater to both individual consumers and enterprises, addressing growing global concerns over data privacy and cyber threats. Alarum competes in a fragmented but rapidly expanding market, positioning itself as a niche player with a focus on innovation and user-centric design. The company leverages its technological expertise to differentiate from larger incumbents, targeting underserved segments that prioritize affordability and ease of use. With increasing regulatory scrutiny on data protection, Alarum is well-placed to capitalize on rising demand for privacy solutions, though it faces intense competition from established cybersecurity firms and emerging startups.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Alarum reported revenue of $31.8 million, reflecting its ability to monetize its privacy-focused offerings effectively. Net income stood at $5.8 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $8, indicating robust profitability. Operating cash flow of $8.9 million underscores efficient operations, while minimal capital expenditures of $99,000 suggest a capital-light business model with scalable infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates strong earnings power, with net income margins of approximately 18.2%, supported by high-margin subscription revenue. Capital efficiency is evident from its low capex requirements and positive operating cash flow, enabling reinvestment in growth initiatives without significant external financing. The diluted EPS of $8 highlights effective earnings distribution across its 642,222 outstanding shares.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Alarum maintains a solid financial position, with $15.1 million in cash and equivalents providing ample liquidity. Total debt is modest at $1.6 million, resulting in a conservative leverage profile. The strong cash position and low debt levels enhance financial flexibility, supporting both organic growth and potential strategic acquisitions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends indicate increasing adoption of Alarum’s privacy solutions, though specific historical comparisons are unavailable. The company does not currently pay dividends, opting to reinvest profits into R&D and market expansion. This aligns with its growth-stage focus, prioritizing scalability over shareholder distributions.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market expectations for Alarum appear optimistic, given its profitability and cash flow generation in a high-growth sector. The absence of dividend payouts suggests investors are valuing the stock for its growth potential rather than income. Further analysis of peer multiples would be needed to assess relative valuation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Alarum’s strategic advantages lie in its specialized focus on privacy technologies and asset-light model, allowing rapid adaptation to market needs. The outlook is positive, driven by increasing global demand for cybersecurity solutions, though execution risks and competitive pressures remain key challenges. Success will depend on sustaining innovation and expanding its customer base.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001725332

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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