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Intrinsic ValueEnertime S.A. (ALENE.PA)

Previous Close0.22
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
0.22

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Enertime SA operates in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in organic rankine cycle (ORC) modules that convert waste heat into renewable electricity. The company serves diverse industries, including geothermal, waste-to-energy, and district heating, leveraging its expertise in turbomachinery and high-temperature heat pumps. Enertime’s technology addresses the growing demand for energy efficiency and decarbonization, positioning it as a niche player in sustainable industrial solutions. Despite its innovative offerings, the company operates in a competitive landscape dominated by larger energy and engineering firms, requiring strategic partnerships and technological differentiation to expand its market share. Its focus on modular and scalable solutions allows flexibility in deployment, catering to both small-scale industrial applications and larger renewable energy projects. However, reliance on project-based revenue and long sales cycles presents challenges in achieving consistent growth.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Enertime reported revenue of €3.76 million for FY 2023, reflecting its project-driven business model. The company posted a net loss of €4.78 million, with negative operating cash flow of €3.70 million, indicating ongoing investment in R&D and commercialization efforts. Capital expenditures were modest at €100k, suggesting limited near-term capacity expansion. The diluted EPS of -€0.41 underscores persistent profitability challenges amid high operational costs.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative earnings and cash flow highlight its pre-commercialization phase, with significant capital allocated to technology development. Enertime’s ability to scale ORC module adoption will be critical to improving capital efficiency. Current metrics suggest heavy reliance on external funding, given the cash burn rate and minimal dividend payouts.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Enertime’s balance sheet shows €656k in cash against €3.27 million in total debt, raising liquidity concerns. The negative operating cash flow exacerbates financial strain, though the absence of dividends preserves capital. The company’s ability to secure additional financing or achieve revenue traction will determine its near-term solvency.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is tied to adoption of ORC technology in waste heat recovery and geothermal markets. No dividends were paid in 2023, as the company prioritizes reinvestment. Future expansion hinges on project wins and partnerships, but macroeconomic headwinds and funding constraints pose risks.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €4.21 million and a beta of 2.61, Enertime is a high-risk, high-volatility play on renewable energy innovation. The valuation reflects skepticism about near-term profitability, though potential policy tailwinds for decarbonization could re-rate the stock.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Enertime’s modular ORC technology offers a differentiated solution for industrial decarbonization, but commercialization remains a hurdle. Strategic partnerships and government grants could accelerate growth, though execution risks persist. The outlook depends on scaling deployments and achieving positive cash flow in a capital-intensive sector.

Sources

Company filings, Euronext Paris disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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