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Intrinsic Value of Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX)

Previous Close$18.18
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$18.18

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on commercial properties in Hawaii, with a portfolio spanning retail, office, and industrial assets. The company generates revenue primarily through long-term leases, property management, and selective development projects. Its market position is strengthened by a deep understanding of Hawaii’s unique economic dynamics, where limited land availability and tourism-driven demand create high barriers to entry. A&B’s strategic focus on prime locations in Honolulu and other key markets ensures stable occupancy and rental income. The company also benefits from its historical roots in Hawaii, fostering strong tenant relationships and local market expertise. While tourism fluctuations pose cyclical risks, A&B’s diversified tenant base and emphasis on essential retail and logistics properties provide resilience. Its development pipeline targets mixed-use projects, aligning with urban revitalization trends in Hawaii.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Alexander & Baldwin reported revenue of $236.6 million, with net income of $60.5 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 25.6%. The company’s operating cash flow of $98 million underscores efficient property management, while negligible capital expenditures suggest a focus on maintaining existing assets rather than aggressive expansion. Diluted EPS of $0.83 indicates steady earnings generation per share.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by stable rental income and low capital intensity, as evidenced by its high operating cash flow relative to net income. With no significant capex in FY 2024, A&B demonstrates capital efficiency, prioritizing cash flow retention and shareholder returns over reinvestment. Its ability to sustain profitability amid Hawaii’s cyclical economy highlights operational resilience.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Alexander & Baldwin maintains a moderate financial position, with $33.4 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $474.8 million. The debt level appears manageable given its recurring cash flows, though leverage metrics should be monitored. The absence of capex reduces liquidity pressures, supporting dividend commitments and potential opportunistic investments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is likely driven by organic rent escalations and selective redevelopment, rather than portfolio expansion. The company’s $0.89 annual dividend per share, yielding approximately 4.2% (assuming a $21 share price), reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Payouts are well-covered by operating cash flow, suggesting sustainability barring economic downturns.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E of ~25 (based on FY 2024 EPS), ALEX is priced for stable, low-growth cash flows. The market likely values its Hawaii-centric niche and defensive income profile, though limited diversification may cap upside. Valuation multiples align with peers in regional REITs, with a premium for its unique geographic focus.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

A&B’s strategic advantages include its entrenched position in Hawaii’s tight real estate market and diversified tenant mix. Near-term performance hinges on tourism recovery and local economic trends, while long-term opportunities lie in mixed-use developments. Risks include exposure to Hawaii’s cyclical economy, but the company’s conservative leverage and focus on essentials provide a buffer.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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