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Intrinsic Value of Alight, Inc. (ALIT)

Previous Close$5.68
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$5.68

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Alight, Inc. operates in the human capital and benefits administration sector, providing cloud-based solutions that streamline payroll, health, wealth, and HR services for enterprises. The company generates revenue primarily through subscription-based software platforms and professional services, catering to large employers seeking to optimize employee benefits and administrative efficiency. Alight differentiates itself through integrated data analytics and AI-driven insights, positioning as a leader in digital transformation for HR and benefits management. Its market position is reinforced by long-term client relationships and scalability, serving a diverse global clientele across industries. The company competes with legacy providers and newer SaaS entrants, leveraging its end-to-end platform to deliver cost savings and compliance assurance. Alight’s focus on innovation and regulatory expertise strengthens its value proposition in a fragmented but growing market.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Alight reported $2.33 billion in revenue for FY 2024, reflecting its broad client base and recurring revenue streams. However, net income stood at -$157 million, with diluted EPS of -$0.29, indicating margin pressures from operational costs or investments. Operating cash flow of $252 million and capital expenditures of -$121 million suggest moderate reinvestment needs, with free cash flow supporting liquidity.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The negative net income raises questions about near-term earnings sustainability, though operating cash flow remains positive. Capital efficiency metrics are pending further breakdowns of ROIC or asset turnover, but the SaaS-like model suggests potential for scalable margins as the client base matures and platform utilization grows.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Alight holds $343 million in cash against $2.16 billion in total debt, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. The debt-to-equity ratio warrants monitoring, but operating cash flow coverage provides some flexibility. Liquidity appears manageable, with no immediate refinancing risks disclosed.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth hinges on SaaS adoption and cross-selling opportunities, though profitability challenges persist. A modest dividend of $0.04 per share signals a commitment to shareholder returns but may prioritize debt reduction or reinvestment in the near term.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Alight on future cash flow potential rather than current earnings, given its negative EPS. Comparables in HR tech suggest investor focus on subscription growth and margin expansion, with volatility reflecting execution risks.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Alight’s integrated platform and regulatory expertise provide competitive moats, but profitability must improve to justify valuation. Strategic partnerships or M&A could accelerate growth, while macroeconomic pressures on HR budgets pose risks. The outlook depends on scaling high-margin software offerings and reducing legacy service dependencies.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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