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Intrinsic Value of Allegion plc (ALLE)

Previous Close$148.81
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$148.81

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Allegion plc operates as a global leader in security products and solutions, specializing in mechanical and electronic locks, door hardware, and access control systems. The company serves diverse end markets, including residential, commercial, institutional, and industrial sectors, with brands like Schlage, Von Duprin, and LCN. Its revenue model is driven by product sales, recurring service contracts, and integrated security solutions, positioning it as a key player in the fragmented but growing security hardware industry. Allegion differentiates itself through innovation, brand recognition, and a focus on high-margin electronic and connected security products. The company maintains a strong competitive position in North America while expanding its international footprint, particularly in Europe and Asia-Pacific. Its strategic partnerships with construction firms, distributors, and technology providers further solidify its market presence.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Allegion reported $3.77 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $597.5 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 15.8%. The company generated $675 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating efficient operations and strong cash conversion. Capital expenditures of $92.1 million indicate disciplined reinvestment, supporting growth in high-margin electronic security solutions.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at $6.82, underscoring Allegion's earnings power. The company's ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to net income highlights capital efficiency. With a focus on higher-margin electronic products, Allegion is well-positioned to sustain profitability despite macroeconomic fluctuations.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Allegion maintains a solid balance sheet with $503.8 million in cash and equivalents, offset by $2 billion in total debt. The debt level is manageable given strong cash flow generation. The company's liquidity position supports ongoing operations and strategic investments without compromising financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Allegion has demonstrated consistent growth in electronic security solutions, a key driver of future revenue expansion. The company pays a dividend of $1.92 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. Its balanced approach to growth and capital return aligns with its mid-single-digit revenue growth trajectory.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Allegion at a premium, reflecting its leadership in security solutions and growth potential in electronic and connected products. Investors anticipate sustained margin expansion and market share gains, particularly in smart lock and access control segments.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Allegion's strategic advantages include strong brand equity, technological innovation, and a diversified customer base. The outlook remains positive, driven by secular trends in security demand and the company's focus on high-growth segments. Execution on international expansion and product innovation will be critical to maintaining competitive momentum.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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