investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Valuemadvertise S.A. (ALMNG.PA)

Previous Close0.39
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
0.39

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Madvertise SA operates in the competitive mobile advertising sector, specializing in branding, performance advertising, and programmatic solutions. The company serves mobile website and app owners with monetization technology, alongside consulting and technical agency services. Its presence in France, Germany, and Italy positions it within Europe's fragmented digital advertising market, where it competes with larger global players and niche regional firms. Madvertise's focus on mobile-first strategies differentiates it, though its scale remains modest compared to industry leaders. The company's shift from Mobile Network Group in 2016 reflects its pivot toward mobile ad tech, but its growth is constrained by the capital-intensive nature of programmatic platforms and reliance on advertiser budgets. Its hybrid model—combining technology with agency services—provides revenue diversification but may limit scalability in a sector dominated by pure-play platforms.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Madvertise reported revenue of €14.96 million for FY 2021, but its net income stood at a loss of €0.87 million, reflecting margin pressures common in ad tech. Operating cash flow was negative €2.35 million, exacerbated by capital expenditures of €0.32 million, indicating reinvestment needs outweighing cash generation. The diluted EPS of -€0.0631 underscores profitability challenges amid competitive and cyclical ad spending trends.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative earnings and cash flow highlight inefficiencies in converting revenue to profit, likely due to high customer acquisition costs and platform maintenance expenses. With limited scale, madvertise struggles to achieve the operational leverage enjoyed by larger competitors, though its asset-light model mitigates some fixed-cost risks.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Madvertise’s financial position appears strained, with €0.47 million in cash against €2.73 million in total debt, raising liquidity concerns. The negative operating cash flow further compounds refinancing risks, though its micro-cap status may limit access to traditional financing options.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

No dividends were paid in FY 2021, consistent with its loss-making position and reinvestment priorities. Revenue trends are undisclosed, but the ad tech sector’s growth potential is offset by madvertise’s niche scale and reliance on discretionary ad budgets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The company’s negligible market cap and high beta (1.84) reflect extreme volatility and speculative investor sentiment. Its lack of profitability and leveraged balance sheet likely deter traditional valuation metrics.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Madvertise’s specialization in mobile advertising offers niche relevance, but its outlook is clouded by financial instability and sector competition. Success hinges on achieving scale or carving a defensible niche in performance advertising, though current metrics suggest uphill challenges.

Sources

Company description, financials provided by user

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount