investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueSerma Group S.A. (ALSER.PA)

Previous Close430.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
430.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Serma Group SA operates as a specialized technology consulting and engineering firm, serving high-reliability industries such as aeronautics, space, healthcare, energy, and automotive. The company's core revenue model is built on providing advanced testing, qualification, and consultancy services for electronic components and systems, including failure analysis, reliability assessments, and smart card testing. Its expertise in semiconductor process characterization and integrated circuit modifications positions it as a critical partner for clients requiring stringent quality assurance. Serma Group differentiates itself through deep technical proficiency and a focus on durability management, obsolescence handling, and problem-solving in complex electronic systems. The firm operates primarily in Europe, leveraging its long-standing reputation since its founding in 1991 to maintain a strong market position in niche engineering consulting. Its cross-sector exposure mitigates industry-specific risks while allowing it to capitalize on technological advancements across multiple high-growth verticals.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, Serma Group reported revenue of €144.5 million, with net income reaching €18.9 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 13.1%. The company generated €27.3 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating solid cash conversion from operations. Capital expenditures of €5.1 million suggest moderate reinvestment needs relative to its cash generation capabilities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of €16.46 indicates strong earnings power relative to its share count. With operating cash flow significantly exceeding net income, Serma Group demonstrates quality earnings backed by cash generation. The balance between service revenue and capital-light operations contributes to favorable capital efficiency metrics.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Serma Group maintained a robust liquidity position with €41.8 million in cash and equivalents against €34.2 million in total debt at FYE 2021. This conservative balance sheet structure, with cash covering 122% of debt obligations, provides financial flexibility. The absence of excessive leverage supports the company's ability to navigate cyclical demand in its end markets.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

While specific growth rates are unavailable, the company's diversified sector exposure positions it to benefit from secular trends in electronics reliability testing. Notably, Serma Group distributed an exceptionally high dividend of €56.64 per share in 2021, though this should be evaluated in context of its sustainable payout ratio and recurring cash flows.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market capitalization data is unavailable, limiting valuation analysis. However, the company's specialized service offering and strong profitability metrics suggest it could command premium multiples relative to generalist consulting firms, assuming sustainable competitive advantages in its niche markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Serma Group's strategic advantage lies in its technical specialization and entrenched position in mission-critical testing services. The increasing complexity of electronic systems across its served industries supports long-term demand for its expertise. Potential risks include customer concentration and cyclicality in capital expenditures of its industrial client base.

Sources

Company description, financial data provided

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount