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Intrinsic ValueTheradiag S.A. (ALTER.PA)

Previous Close1.26
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
1.26

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Theradiag SA operates in the medical devices sector, specializing in in-vitro diagnostic solutions for autoimmunity, infectious diseases, and biotherapy monitoring. The company generates revenue through a diversified portfolio, including reagents, diagnostic instruments like the Theralis and FIDIS platforms, and specialized services such as therapeutic drug monitoring. Its products cater to laboratories and healthcare providers, positioning it as a niche player in the European diagnostics market. Theradiag’s focus on multiplex immunofluorescence and ELISA technologies differentiates it from competitors, though it operates in a highly regulated and competitive environment. Its SARS-CoV-2 serology tests and semen analyzers further diversify its offerings, but reliance on biotherapy monitoring and autoimmune diagnostics exposes it to sector-specific reimbursement and adoption risks. The company’s small-scale operations limit its global reach, but its technological specialization provides a defensible market position in targeted applications.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Theradiag reported revenue of €12.2 million in FY 2022, reflecting its niche market focus. However, it posted a net loss of €0.49 million, with diluted EPS of -€0.0375, indicating profitability challenges. The absence of reported operating cash flow and capital expenditures suggests limited visibility into cash generation or reinvestment activities, though its €6.39 million cash reserve provides short-term liquidity.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative net income and EPS highlight weak earnings power, likely due to high R&D or operational costs relative to its revenue scale. With no disclosed operating cash flow, assessing capital efficiency is difficult, but its modest debt (€1.84 million) and cash position suggest manageable leverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Theradiag maintains a solid liquidity position with €6.39 million in cash against €1.84 million in total debt, indicating low leverage. Its equity base appears stable, though the net loss marginally eroded its financial cushion. The absence of dividend payouts aligns with its focus on preserving capital for growth or R&D.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends are undisclosed, but the FY 2022 loss suggests stagnant or declining margins. The company does not pay dividends, reinvesting resources into its diagnostic portfolio. Growth likely hinges on adoption of its specialized tests and instruments, though competitive and regulatory pressures pose risks.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €17.3 million, Theradiag trades at approximately 1.4x revenue, reflecting its small-cap status and profitability challenges. The negative beta (-0.274) implies low correlation with broader markets, possibly due to its niche focus. Investors likely await turnaround evidence or pipeline advancements.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Theradiag’s expertise in multiplex diagnostics and biotherapy monitoring provides a competitive edge, but its small scale limits economies of scope. Near-term prospects depend on commercial execution and regulatory approvals, while long-term viability may require partnerships or technological breakthroughs to expand its market reach.

Sources

Company filings, Euronext Paris disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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