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Intrinsic Value of Alta Equipment Group Inc. (ALTG)

Previous Close$7.62
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$7.62

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Alta Equipment Group Inc. operates as an integrated equipment dealership platform, specializing in material handling, construction, and environmental processing equipment. The company generates revenue through equipment sales, rentals, and aftermarket services, including parts and maintenance. Serving diverse industries such as warehousing, manufacturing, and infrastructure, Alta leverages its regional expertise and OEM partnerships to provide tailored solutions. Its market position is reinforced by a service-centric approach, enabling long-term customer relationships and recurring revenue streams. The company competes in a fragmented industry, differentiating itself through integrated service offerings and a broad geographic footprint. Alta’s focus on industrial and construction sectors aligns with cyclical demand drivers, requiring adaptive inventory and financing strategies to mitigate economic volatility.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Alta reported revenue of $1.88 billion for FY 2024, though net income stood at a loss of $62.1 million, reflecting margin pressures. Diluted EPS of -$1.96 indicates challenges in translating top-line growth to profitability. Operating cash flow of $57 million suggests some operational resilience, but capital expenditure data is unavailable, limiting efficiency analysis. The company’s ability to improve margins amid high debt and interest costs remains critical.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Negative earnings and elevated leverage constrain Alta’s capital efficiency, with interest obligations likely weighing on net income. The absence of disclosed capital expenditures makes it difficult to assess reinvestment productivity. Operating cash flow, while positive, may be insufficient to cover debt servicing and growth needs, highlighting reliance on external financing or asset turnover improvements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Alta’s balance sheet shows $13.4 million in cash against $1.2 billion in total debt, signaling high leverage. The debt-heavy structure increases refinancing risks, particularly in a rising-rate environment. Shareholders’ equity is pressured by accumulated losses, though the dividend payout of $0.33 per share suggests some liquidity prioritization. Asset turnover and working capital management are key to sustaining operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue scale indicates growth potential, but profitability trends are concerning. The dividend yield, while modest, may strain cash flows given negative earnings. Future growth hinges on equipment demand cycles and aftermarket service expansion. Strategic acquisitions or rental fleet utilization could offset cyclicality, but execution risks persist.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Alta as a cyclical play, with valuation metrics reflecting earnings uncertainty. High debt and negative EPS suggest discounted equity pricing. Investors may focus on cash flow stability and sector recovery prospects to justify current valuations, though leverage remains a overhang.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Alta’s integrated service model and OEM relationships provide competitive moats, but macroeconomic sensitivity poses risks. Success depends on balancing debt reduction with growth investments, particularly in higher-margin services. Near-term outlook is cautious, with profitability improvements and leverage management as critical milestones.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001759824), disclosed financials for FY 2024

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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