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Intrinsic Value of Autoliv, Inc. (ALV)

Previous Close$117.66
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$117.66

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Autoliv, Inc. is a global leader in automotive safety systems, specializing in the design and manufacturing of passive safety products such as airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheels. The company operates in a highly competitive and regulated industry, serving major automakers worldwide. Its revenue model is driven by long-term contracts with OEMs, leveraging economies of scale and technological innovation to maintain cost leadership. Autoliv holds a dominant market position, supported by its extensive R&D capabilities and stringent safety standards, which are critical in an industry where reliability and compliance are paramount. The company’s diversified geographic footprint mitigates regional risks while capitalizing on growth in emerging markets. Autoliv’s focus on advanced safety technologies, including autonomous driving solutions, positions it as a key player in the evolving automotive ecosystem.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Autoliv reported revenue of $10.39 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $646 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 6.2%. The company generated $1.06 billion in operating cash flow, underscoring its ability to convert sales into cash efficiently. Despite the absence of disclosed capital expenditures, Autoliv’s profitability metrics suggest disciplined cost management and operational leverage in a capital-intensive industry.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at $8.03, demonstrating robust earnings power relative to its outstanding shares of 80.2 million. The company’s ability to sustain profitability amid industry cyclicality highlights its resilient business model. Autoliv’s capital efficiency is further evidenced by its consistent cash flow generation, which supports reinvestment in innovation and shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Autoliv’s balance sheet shows $330 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $2.07 billion, indicating a moderate leverage position. The company’s financial health appears stable, with sufficient liquidity to meet near-term obligations. However, the debt level warrants monitoring, especially in light of potential industry downturns or rising interest rates.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Autoliv’s growth is tied to global automotive production trends and regulatory tailwinds favoring safety technologies. The company paid a dividend of $2.73 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Its dividend policy aligns with its cash flow stability, though future growth may hinge on R&D investments and market expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values Autoliv based on its industry leadership and steady cash flows, though valuation multiples may reflect cyclical risks. Investors may weigh its growth potential in autonomous safety solutions against macroeconomic headwinds affecting the automotive sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Autoliv’s strategic advantages include its technological expertise, global scale, and strong OEM relationships. The outlook remains positive, driven by increasing safety regulations and the shift toward autonomous vehicles. However, competitive pressures and supply chain volatility could pose challenges. The company’s focus on innovation and cost efficiency positions it to navigate these dynamics effectively.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001034670

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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