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Intrinsic ValueAccell Group N.V. (AO1B.DE)

Previous Close57.10
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
57.10

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Accell Group N.V. is a leading player in the European bicycle industry, specializing in the design, production, and distribution of premium and mid-range bicycles, parts, and accessories. The company operates under a diversified portfolio of well-known brands such as Lapierre, Haibike, Raleigh, and Ghost, catering to both recreational and performance-oriented cyclists. Its revenue model is driven by B2B sales to dealers and direct-to-consumer channels, leveraging strong brand equity and a broad product range. Accell Group holds a competitive position in the European market, benefiting from the growing demand for e-bikes and sustainable mobility solutions. The company’s focus on innovation, particularly in electric and connected bikes, aligns with broader industry trends toward eco-friendly transportation. Despite intense competition from global players and private labels, Accell maintains a solid market share through its multi-brand strategy and regional distribution strength.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, Accell Group reported revenue of €1.38 billion, reflecting robust demand in the bicycle sector. Net income stood at €69.97 million, with diluted EPS of €2.6, indicating healthy profitability. However, operating cash flow was negative at €-120.68 million, likely due to working capital adjustments or inventory buildup. Capital expenditures were modest at €-12.47 million, suggesting disciplined investment in maintaining production capacity.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrated solid earnings power with a net income margin of approximately 5.1%. While the negative operating cash flow raises questions about short-term liquidity management, the profitability metrics underscore efficient cost control and pricing power. The capital-light model, evidenced by low capex, allows for reinvestment in brand development and innovation without excessive leverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Accell Group’s balance sheet shows €48.47 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of €265.36 million, indicating moderate leverage. The debt level appears manageable given the company’s profitability, though the negative operating cash flow warrants monitoring. The absence of dividends suggests a focus on retaining earnings for growth or debt reduction.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth in FY 2021 aligns with broader industry trends favoring cycling and e-mobility. The company did not pay dividends, likely prioritizing reinvestment in product innovation and market expansion. Future growth may hinge on sustained demand for e-bikes and operational efficiency improvements.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a beta of 1.2, Accell Group’s stock exhibits higher volatility relative to the market, reflecting sector-specific risks. The lack of a dividend and mixed cash flow performance may influence investor sentiment, though the company’s niche in premium bicycles offers long-term potential if sustainable mobility trends persist.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Accell Group’s multi-brand strategy and focus on e-bikes position it well in a growing market. Challenges include supply chain management and competitive pressures. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on execution in innovation and cost control.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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