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Intrinsic ValueArundel AG (ARON.SW)

Previous CloseCHF0.08
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF0.08

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Arundel AG is a Zurich-based real estate investment firm operating within the financial services sector, specifically capital markets. The company focuses on acquiring, managing, and developing real estate assets, leveraging Switzerland's stable property market. Its core revenue model derives from rental income, property appreciation, and strategic asset sales. Arundel AG operates in a competitive landscape dominated by larger institutional investors, positioning itself as a niche player with targeted investments in high-potential properties. The firm’s market position is influenced by Switzerland’s stringent regulatory environment and the broader European real estate dynamics, which demand disciplined capital allocation and risk management. While not a market leader, Arundel AG’s localized expertise allows it to identify undervalued opportunities, though its smaller scale limits diversification compared to larger peers.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, Arundel AG reported revenue of CHF 8.31 million, but net income stood at a loss of CHF 16.1 million, reflecting challenges in asset performance or valuation adjustments. The negative operating cash flow of CHF 2.82 million and minimal capital expenditures (CHF -0.17 million) suggest constrained liquidity and limited reinvestment activity. These metrics indicate inefficiencies in converting revenue into sustainable profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The diluted EPS of CHF -1.08 underscores weak earnings power, likely due to high financing costs or asset write-downs. With total debt of CHF 155.4 million against cash reserves of CHF 7.85 million, the company’s capital structure appears leveraged, potentially pressuring interest coverage and limiting flexibility for growth initiatives.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Arundel AG’s balance sheet shows significant debt (CHF 155.4 million) relative to its cash position (CHF 7.85 million), raising concerns about solvency. The absence of dividends aligns with its loss-making position, prioritizing debt servicing over shareholder returns. The firm’s financial health hinges on improving asset yields or securing refinancing to manage liabilities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

No dividends were distributed in FY 2023, consistent with the net loss. Growth prospects depend on the firm’s ability to stabilize its portfolio and capitalize on Switzerland’s real estate demand. However, the high debt load may constrain aggressive expansion unless accompanied by equity raises or asset sales.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CHF 1.39 million and a beta of 0.398, Arundel AG is perceived as a low-volatility but high-risk investment due to its financial strain. The negative earnings and cash flow likely weigh on investor sentiment, suggesting muted expectations for near-term recovery.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Arundel AG’s niche focus in Swiss real estate offers localized expertise, but its high leverage and losses pose significant risks. The outlook depends on asset monetization and debt management. A turnaround would require improved market conditions or strategic divestitures to restore balance sheet stability.

Sources

Company filings, Swiss Exchange (SIX) disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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