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Intrinsic Value of AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)

Previous Close$23.13
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$23.13

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

AdvanSix Inc. operates as a diversified chemical company, primarily serving the nylon, fertilizer, and chemical intermediates markets. Its core products include caprolactam, ammonium sulfate, and acetone, which are essential inputs for industries such as automotive, textiles, and agriculture. The company leverages integrated manufacturing processes to optimize cost efficiency and supply chain reliability, positioning itself as a key supplier in North America. AdvanSix’s revenue model is driven by both contractual agreements and spot market sales, balancing stability with exposure to commodity price fluctuations. The company competes in cyclical markets, where demand is influenced by industrial production trends and agricultural cycles. Its strategic focus on operational excellence and customer-centric solutions enhances its competitive edge in niche chemical segments. AdvanSix maintains a disciplined approach to capital allocation, targeting growth in high-margin specialty products while sustaining its foundational commodity businesses.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, AdvanSix reported revenue of $1.52 billion, with net income of $44.1 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.9%. Diluted EPS stood at $1.62, indicating modest profitability amid challenging market conditions. Operating cash flow was $135.4 million, demonstrating the company’s ability to generate liquidity from core operations. Capital expenditures were not disclosed, limiting visibility into reinvestment activity.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

AdvanSix’s earnings power is tempered by its exposure to commodity price volatility and input cost pressures. The company’s capital efficiency appears constrained, as evidenced by its modest net income relative to revenue. However, its operating cash flow suggests reasonable conversion of sales into cash, supporting ongoing operational needs and potential debt servicing.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company’s balance sheet shows $19.6 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $348.9 million, indicating a leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable without equity figures, but the liquidity profile suggests reliance on operational cash flow for flexibility. AdvanSix’s financial health hinges on maintaining stable margins and managing cyclical downturns effectively.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

AdvanSix’s growth is tied to industrial and agricultural demand, with limited visibility into near-term expansion. The company paid a dividend of $0.64 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns despite earnings volatility. Dividend sustainability depends on consistent cash flow generation and disciplined capital allocation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices AdvanSix with caution due to its cyclical exposure and thin margins. Valuation metrics are not provided, but the company’s earnings and cash flow suggest a focus on operational resilience rather than high-growth expectations. Investors may weigh commodity price risks against its niche market positioning.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

AdvanSix’s integrated production and cost-competitive assets provide a foundation for navigating cyclical headwinds. The outlook remains contingent on industrial demand recovery and effective cost management. Strategic initiatives to diversify into higher-margin products could enhance long-term profitability, but near-term challenges persist.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001673985

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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