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Intrinsic Value of Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. (ASR)

Previous Close$318.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$318.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR) operates a portfolio of airports in Mexico, the U.S., and Colombia, generating revenue primarily through aeronautical and non-aeronautical services. The company’s aeronautical segment includes landing fees, passenger charges, and aircraft parking, while non-aeronautical income stems from retail concessions, advertising, and car rentals. ASUR holds a dominant position in Mexico’s southeastern region, including Cancún International Airport, a key hub for tourism. Its diversified geographic footprint mitigates regional risks while capitalizing on high-traffic leisure and business travel routes. The company’s strategic focus on operational efficiency and passenger experience strengthens its competitive edge in the airport infrastructure sector. ASUR’s long-term concessions provide revenue stability, supported by regulated tariffs and growing air travel demand in emerging markets. Its expansion into Colombia and Puerto Rico further diversifies revenue streams and enhances growth prospects.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

ASUR reported revenue of MXN 31.3 billion for FY 2024, with net income of MXN 13.6 billion, reflecting strong profitability. The company’s operating cash flow of MXN 15.6 billion underscores efficient operations, while capital expenditures of MXN 4.4 billion indicate ongoing investments in infrastructure. Diluted EPS of MXN 451.7 highlights robust earnings generation, supported by high-margin non-aeronautical revenue streams.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

ASUR’s earnings power is driven by its asset-light model and high operating leverage, with regulated tariffs ensuring stable cash flows. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to fund expansions while maintaining healthy returns. Strong free cash flow generation supports reinvestment and shareholder returns, with a disciplined approach to debt management.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

ASUR maintains a solid balance sheet, with cash and equivalents of MXN 20.1 billion and total debt of MXN 13.4 billion. The company’s liquidity position is robust, providing flexibility for growth initiatives. Debt levels are manageable, with ample coverage from operating cash flows, ensuring financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

ASUR benefits from long-term growth in air travel demand, particularly in its key markets. The company’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a dividend per share of MXN 209.26 in FY 2024. Growth initiatives, including terminal expansions and concession acquisitions, are expected to drive future revenue and earnings growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

ASUR’s valuation reflects its stable cash flows and growth potential, trading at a premium to peers due to its high-quality asset base. Market expectations are anchored on continued recovery in passenger traffic and efficient capital allocation, supporting long-term value creation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

ASUR’s strategic advantages include its monopolistic airport concessions, geographic diversification, and strong tourism-driven demand. The outlook remains positive, with recovery in international travel and expansion projects poised to enhance capacity and revenue. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on long-term industry trends.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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