investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE)

Previous Close$42.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$42.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Astec Industries, Inc. operates as a manufacturer of specialized equipment for infrastructure construction, aggregate processing, and energy production. The company serves a diverse customer base, including contractors, government agencies, and energy producers, through its portfolio of brands such as Astec, Telsmith, and Roadtec. Its core revenue model is driven by equipment sales, aftermarket parts, and service offerings, which provide recurring revenue streams. Astec operates in a highly competitive sector, where innovation and operational efficiency are critical to maintaining market share. The company differentiates itself through proprietary technologies and a focus on sustainability, particularly in asphalt production and recycling solutions. Its market position is bolstered by long-standing relationships with key customers and a global distribution network, though it faces pricing pressures from larger competitors and cyclical demand tied to infrastructure spending.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Astec Industries reported revenue of $1.31 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $4.3 million, reflecting thin margins in a competitive environment. Diluted EPS stood at $0.19, indicating modest earnings power. Operating cash flow of $23 million suggests reasonable operational efficiency, though capital expenditures were not disclosed, limiting a full assessment of cash conversion. The company’s profitability metrics highlight challenges in scaling earnings amid input cost volatility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of $0.19 underscores limited earnings power, likely constrained by fixed costs and competitive pricing. Operating cash flow of $23 million, while positive, does not fully offset the modest net income, suggesting room for improved capital efficiency. With no disclosed capital expenditures, it is unclear how reinvestment aligns with growth initiatives. Astec’s ability to enhance returns will depend on operational leverage and cost management.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Astec maintains a balanced financial position, with $88.3 million in cash and equivalents against $118.3 million in total debt, indicating manageable leverage. The absence of significant capital expenditures in the reported period may reflect conservative financial management. The company’s liquidity appears adequate, though its ability to fund growth or weather downturns will hinge on sustaining cash flow generation and controlling debt levels.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are muted, with revenue stability offset by narrow profitability. The company’s dividend payout of $0.52 per share suggests a commitment to shareholder returns, though the sustainability of this policy depends on earnings improvement. Astec’s growth prospects are tied to infrastructure investment cycles and potential market share gains, but near-term expansion appears limited without significant operational improvements.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Astec’s valuation likely reflects its cyclical exposure and modest earnings. The market appears to price in limited near-term growth, given the company’s thin margins and competitive pressures. Investors may weigh its dividend yield against earnings volatility, with expectations hinging on execution in cost control and demand recovery in core markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Astec’s strategic advantages include its niche equipment expertise and aftermarket services, which provide stability. However, the outlook remains cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainties and sector competition. Success will depend on leveraging its technology portfolio and optimizing operations to improve margins. Long-term opportunities in sustainable infrastructure could bolster demand, but execution risks persist.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount