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Intrinsic Value of Ames National Corporation (ATLO)

Previous Close$18.58
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$18.58

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Ames National Corporation operates as a community bank holding company, primarily serving central Iowa through its subsidiary banks. The company generates revenue through traditional banking activities, including commercial and retail lending, deposit services, and wealth management. Its core offerings encompass business loans, residential mortgages, and consumer banking products, tailored to local businesses and individuals. Ames National differentiates itself through personalized customer service and deep community ties, positioning it as a trusted financial partner in its regional markets. The bank’s conservative lending practices and localized focus provide stability, though its growth is constrained by its geographic concentration. Competitive pressures from larger regional banks and fintech disruptors necessitate ongoing adaptation, but Ames National’s entrenched relationships and niche expertise sustain its relevance.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Ames National reported revenue of $54.8 million and net income of $10.2 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 18.6%. The absence of capital expenditures suggests disciplined cost management, while operating cash flow of $14.3 million underscores steady liquidity generation. Diluted EPS of $1.14 indicates moderate profitability, though efficiency metrics would benefit from further granularity on non-interest expenses and asset yields.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power appears stable, supported by interest income from its loan portfolio and fee-based services. With no reported capital expenditures, retained earnings likely bolster capital reserves. However, the lack of detailed return metrics (e.g., ROA or ROE) limits a full assessment of capital efficiency. The dividend payout ratio of ~89% (based on EPS) suggests a high but sustainable distribution policy.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ames National maintains a solid balance sheet, with $107.4 million in cash and equivalents against $47.0 million in total debt, indicating strong liquidity. The low leverage ratio implies conservative financing, though further details on asset quality (e.g., NPLs) would clarify credit risk. Shareholders’ equity appears robust given the debt level, supporting financial resilience.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Historical growth trends are unclear without prior-year comparisons, but the $1.01 annual dividend per share aligns with a high-yield strategy. The payout suggests a focus on income returns rather than aggressive expansion. Regional economic conditions and interest rate trends will likely dictate future loan growth and margin dynamics.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap inferred at ~$102.5 million (based on 8.99 million shares outstanding and assuming a typical community bank P/E of ~10x), the stock may trade near book value. Investors likely price in modest growth expectations, balancing the dividend yield against limited geographic diversification.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ames National’s community-centric model and low leverage provide stability, but its reliance on Iowa’s economy introduces concentration risk. Strategic priorities may include digital banking enhancements to counter fintech competition. Net interest margin trends and loan demand will be critical to monitor, particularly in a higher-rate environment.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001132651), inferred financials based on provided data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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