investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueAves One AG (AVES.DE)

Previous Close15.10
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
15.10

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Aves One AG operates as a specialized asset owner in the European logistics sector, with a primary focus on rail-based transportation equipment. The company’s portfolio includes a diverse range of railway carriages, such as coil transport, flat, intermodal, and tank wagons, alongside sea containers and specialized equipment like swap bodies. By leasing these assets to shipping companies, industrial firms, and state-owned railways, Aves One generates stable, long-term revenue streams tied to the essential movement of goods across Europe. The company’s strategic emphasis on durable logistics infrastructure positions it as a critical enabler of supply chain efficiency, particularly in an era where rail freight is gaining prominence due to sustainability trends and regulatory shifts favoring lower-emission transport modes. Aves One’s market position is reinforced by its asset-heavy model, which provides a competitive moat in a capital-intensive industry, though it also exposes the firm to cyclical demand fluctuations and maintenance costs inherent in rail logistics.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Aves One reported no revenue or net income for FY 2022, reflecting potential transitional challenges or accounting adjustments in its asset-leasing operations. The absence of operating cash flow and capital expenditures data further limits visibility into operational efficiency, though the company’s asset-centric model typically prioritizes long-term cash flow stability over short-term profitability metrics.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With no reported diluted EPS or operating cash flow, Aves One’s earnings power remains unclear for the period. The capital-intensive nature of its business suggests that returns are likely tied to asset utilization rates and lease pricing, but granular data on these drivers is unavailable.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company’s balance sheet metrics, including cash equivalents and total debt, were reported as zero for FY 2022, indicating either data limitations or a restructuring phase. Without further detail, assessing leverage or liquidity risks is impractical, though the asset-heavy model typically requires disciplined debt management.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Aves One’s growth prospects hinge on European rail freight demand and its ability to expand or renew its asset portfolio. No dividend was reported, aligning with a reinvestment-focused strategy common in capital-intensive leasing businesses.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The company’s €196.5 million market cap and low beta (0.331) suggest investors view it as a relatively stable, niche player. However, the lack of financial disclosures complicates traditional valuation approaches.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Aves One’s focus on rail assets aligns with Europe’s push for sustainable transport, offering potential tailwinds. Execution risks include maintaining asset quality and navigating cyclical demand, but its specialized model provides a differentiated position in the logistics ecosystem.

Sources

Company description, market data from Deutsche Börse

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount