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Intrinsic Value of American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK)

Previous Close$145.72
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$145.72

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) is the largest publicly traded water and wastewater utility company in the U.S., serving approximately 3.5 million customers across 16 states. The company operates in a highly regulated industry, deriving stable revenue from essential water services, including treatment, distribution, and wastewater management. Its business model is anchored in long-term infrastructure investments, supported by rate increases approved by state regulators, ensuring predictable cash flows. AWK’s scale and operational efficiency provide a competitive edge, allowing it to outperform smaller regional peers. The company also engages in market-based activities, such as military base contracts and homeowner services, diversifying its revenue streams. With aging U.S. water infrastructure driving demand for upgrades, AWK is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities through acquisitions and organic expansion. Its disciplined capital allocation and regulatory expertise reinforce its leadership in a fragmented but essential sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, AWK reported revenue of $4.68 billion and net income of $1.05 billion, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 22.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $5.39, demonstrating consistent profitability. Operating cash flow of $2.05 billion underscores strong cash generation, though capital expenditures of $2.86 billion highlight the capital-intensive nature of the business. The company’s efficiency is supported by regulated rate structures and cost management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

AWK’s earnings power is driven by its regulated utility operations, which provide stable returns on invested capital. The company’s ability to secure rate increases and manage operating costs ensures high capital efficiency. Its focus on infrastructure reinvestment and strategic acquisitions further enhances long-term earnings potential, though near-term capex pressures free cash flow.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

AWK maintains a solid balance sheet with $96 million in cash and equivalents, though total debt of $14.11 billion reflects the capital demands of utility operations. The company’s regulated revenue base supports its debt servicing capacity, and its investment-grade credit rating facilitates access to low-cost financing for growth initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

AWK has a history of steady growth through regulated rate increases and acquisitions. The company pays a reliable dividend, with a $3.00 per share annual payout, appealing to income-focused investors. Future growth is expected to be driven by infrastructure investments and expansion into underserved markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

AWK trades at a premium valuation, reflecting its defensive business model and growth prospects. Market expectations are anchored in its ability to deliver consistent earnings growth through regulatory mechanisms and strategic investments, though high capex may weigh on near-term returns.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

AWK’s strategic advantages include its scale, regulatory expertise, and essential service offering. The outlook remains positive, with aging infrastructure and climate resilience needs driving long-term demand. The company’s disciplined capital allocation and focus on operational efficiency position it well for sustained value creation.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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