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Intrinsic Value of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA)

Previous Close$75.96
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$75.96

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023-03-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %-6.0NaN
Revenue, $126491NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m111484NaN
Operating income, $m15007NaN
EBITDA, $m21841NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m12822NaN
Tax expense, $m2264NaN
Net income, $m10558NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m81672NaN
Total assets, $m255263NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m173591NaN
Average production assets, $m75235NaN
Working capital, $m45521NaN
Total debt, $m23495NaN
Total liabilities, $m93188NaN
Total equity, $m162075NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.145NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.473NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m10558NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m6834NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m29086NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m94NaN
Free cash flow, $m28992NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m45521
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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