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Intrinsic Value of Ball Corporation (BALL)

Previous Close$58.73
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$58.73

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Ball Corporation is a global leader in sustainable aluminum packaging solutions, primarily serving the beverage, personal care, and household products industries. The company generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of aluminum cans, bottles, and aerosol containers, leveraging its extensive production footprint and technological expertise to serve multinational clients. Ball operates in a highly competitive but consolidated market, where its scale, innovation in lightweighting, and sustainability initiatives provide a distinct edge. The company’s focus on recyclable materials aligns with global environmental trends, reinforcing its position as a preferred supplier for brands prioritizing eco-friendly packaging. Ball’s diversified geographic presence mitigates regional demand risks, while long-term contracts with major beverage companies ensure stable revenue streams. Its market leadership is further bolstered by strategic acquisitions and partnerships, enhancing its capability to meet evolving customer needs.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Ball Corporation reported revenue of $11.8 billion for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, with net income reaching $4.0 billion, reflecting strong profitability. Diluted EPS stood at $13, indicating robust earnings power. Operating cash flow was $115 million, though capital expenditures of $484 million highlight ongoing investments in capacity and efficiency. The company’s ability to maintain profitability amid inflationary pressures underscores its pricing power and cost management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Ball’s earnings power is evident in its $4.0 billion net income, supported by high-margin aluminum packaging solutions. The company’s capital efficiency is reflected in its disciplined capex strategy, with $484 million allocated to growth and maintenance. Despite significant debt levels, Ball’s strong cash flow generation ensures adequate coverage for interest and reinvestment needs, sustaining long-term shareholder value.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ball Corporation maintains a solid balance sheet with $885 million in cash and equivalents, though total debt of $5.7 billion indicates leverage. The company’s liquidity position is manageable, supported by consistent operating cash flows. Debt maturity profiles and covenants are structured to avoid near-term refinancing risks, providing financial flexibility for strategic initiatives and dividend payments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Ball’s growth is driven by increasing demand for sustainable packaging, with revenue trends reflecting steady volume growth. The company pays a dividend of $0.80 per share, signaling a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Future growth may hinge on expansion into emerging markets and innovation in recyclable materials, aligning with global sustainability goals.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Ball’s valuation reflects its leadership in aluminum packaging, with market expectations centered on sustained demand for eco-friendly solutions. The company’s P/E ratio and enterprise value multiples are benchmarked against peers, factoring in its growth prospects and margin stability. Investor sentiment remains positive, given Ball’s alignment with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) trends.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ball Corporation’s strategic advantages include its scale, technological leadership, and sustainability focus. The outlook is favorable, supported by long-term contracts and global beverage demand. Risks include commodity price volatility and competitive pressures, but Ball’s innovation and cost discipline position it well for sustained growth. The company’s commitment to ESG initiatives further enhances its competitive positioning.

Sources

10-K filings, investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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