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Intrinsic Value of BayCom Corp (BCML)

Previous Close$28.14
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$28.14

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

BayCom Corp operates as a bank holding company, primarily serving small to mid-sized businesses and professionals through its subsidiary, United Business Bank. The company focuses on commercial lending, including commercial real estate, construction, and SBA loans, alongside traditional retail banking services. Its revenue model is driven by net interest income from loans and deposits, supplemented by fee-based services such as treasury management and wealth advisory. BayCom has carved a niche in the competitive Western U.S. banking sector by emphasizing relationship-based banking and local decision-making, which enhances customer retention and cross-selling opportunities. The bank’s market positioning is bolstered by its targeted approach to underserved business segments, particularly in California and Washington, where it maintains a strong regional presence. While not a dominant player nationally, BayCom’s disciplined underwriting and community-focused strategy provide stability in its core markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, BayCom reported revenue of $97.1 million, with net income of $23.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 24.3%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.10, demonstrating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was $30.4 million, supported by steady loan growth and efficient deposit gathering. Capital expenditures were modest at $1.7 million, indicating a lean operational structure with a focus on organic growth rather than heavy infrastructure investment.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is anchored in its ability to generate net interest income, which benefits from a diversified loan portfolio and disciplined cost of funds. Return on assets and equity metrics are likely in line with regional bank peers, though specific figures are unavailable. Capital efficiency is evident in its low capex requirements and ability to fund growth primarily through retained earnings and operational cash flows.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

BayCom’s balance sheet shows $23.4 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $86.8 million, suggesting a conservative leverage profile. The loan-to-deposit ratio and asset quality metrics are critical for assessing risk, but granular data is lacking. The company’s financial health appears stable, with sufficient liquidity to meet obligations and support moderate expansion.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are likely driven by organic loan expansion and strategic acquisitions in its core markets. The company paid a dividend of $0.30 per share, indicating a payout ratio of approximately 14% of net income, which aligns with its focus on balancing shareholder returns with reinvestment for growth. Future dividend increases may hinge on sustained profitability and regulatory capital levels.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from its $2.10 EPS, BayCom’s valuation reflects market expectations for steady, albeit unspectacular, growth. Investors likely price in its regional focus and niche lending expertise, with limited premium for scalability. Comparable analysis with peer banks would provide deeper context, but data is unavailable.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

BayCom’s strategic advantages include its localized decision-making, strong customer relationships, and disciplined credit culture. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on economic conditions in its Western U.S. markets. Challenges include interest rate volatility and competition from larger banks, but its niche positioning and operational efficiency provide resilience.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001730984

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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