investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Bloom Energy Corporation (BE)

Previous Close$24.24
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$24.24

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Bloom Energy Corporation operates in the clean energy sector, specializing in solid oxide fuel cell technology for distributed power generation. The company’s core revenue model revolves around the sale of its Bloom Energy Servers, long-term service agreements, and electricity sales under power purchase agreements. These servers provide reliable, resilient, and sustainable energy solutions, primarily targeting commercial, industrial, and utility customers seeking to reduce carbon footprints while ensuring energy security. Bloom Energy differentiates itself through its proprietary fuel cell technology, which offers high efficiency and lower emissions compared to traditional combustion-based systems. The company competes in a rapidly evolving market alongside renewable energy providers, battery storage firms, and conventional power generators. Its strategic focus on decarbonization and grid independence positions it favorably in regions with stringent environmental regulations and high electricity costs, such as California and parts of Asia. Despite technological advantages, Bloom Energy faces challenges in scaling production and achieving cost competitiveness against established energy solutions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Bloom Energy reported revenue of $1.47 billion for FY 2024, reflecting its growing adoption in the clean energy market. The company posted a net loss of $29.2 million, with diluted EPS of -$0.13, indicating ongoing profitability challenges despite revenue growth. Operating cash flow was positive at $92 million, while capital expenditures totaled $58.9 million, suggesting disciplined investment in capacity and technology. The balance between revenue growth and cost management remains critical for future profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Bloom Energy’s earnings power is constrained by its net loss position, though its operating cash flow demonstrates some ability to fund operations. The company’s capital efficiency is under scrutiny as it balances R&D investments with scaling production. With a diluted EPS of -$0.13, the focus remains on improving margins through economies of scale and reducing reliance on subsidies or tax credits to achieve sustainable profitability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Bloom Energy maintains a solid liquidity position with $802.9 million in cash and equivalents, providing a buffer against its $1.53 billion total debt. The debt load is significant but manageable given the company’s cash reserves and operating cash flow. Investors should monitor leverage ratios closely, as the company’s ability to service debt while funding growth initiatives will be pivotal for long-term financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Bloom Energy’s revenue growth highlights increasing demand for its fuel cell solutions, though profitability remains elusive. The company pays a nominal dividend of $0.01 per share, signaling limited commitment to shareholder returns amid reinvestment needs. Future growth will likely hinge on expanding its service agreement portfolio, geographic reach, and cost reductions to achieve positive earnings and free cash flow.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Bloom Energy’s valuation reflects investor optimism about its technology and market potential, tempered by profitability concerns. The stock’s performance will depend on execution in scaling production, securing large contracts, and achieving cost targets. Market expectations are likely aligned with long-term adoption of clean energy solutions, though near-term volatility may persist until consistent profitability is demonstrated.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Bloom Energy’s proprietary fuel cell technology and focus on decarbonization provide strategic advantages in a transitioning energy landscape. The outlook hinges on its ability to capitalize on regulatory tailwinds, expand into new markets, and improve operational efficiency. Success will require balancing innovation with financial discipline, making the next few years critical for establishing sustainable growth and profitability.

Sources

10-K, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount