Previous Close | $1.82 |
Intrinsic Value | $0.00 |
Upside potential | -100% |
Data is not available at this time.
Bright Scholar Education Holdings Limited operates in the private K-12 education sector in China, offering bilingual and international curricula through its network of schools. The company generates revenue primarily through tuition fees, boarding services, and ancillary educational programs. Its business model is anchored in premium education services, targeting middle- and upper-income families seeking Western-style education with a Chinese cultural foundation. The firm competes in a fragmented but growing market, where regulatory changes and demographic shifts present both opportunities and risks. Bright Scholar differentiates itself through a blend of academic rigor, extracurricular enrichment, and college preparation services, positioning it as a mid-tier provider in China’s competitive private education landscape. The company’s expansion strategy focuses on selective acquisitions and organic growth, though recent regulatory crackdowns on for-profit education have pressured its operational flexibility and market positioning.
Bright Scholar reported revenue of CNY 1.76 billion for the fiscal year ending August 2024, reflecting its scale in the private education sector. However, the company posted a net loss of CNY 996 million, driven by high operating costs and potential regulatory impacts. Operating cash flow stood at CNY 126 million, suggesting some ability to fund operations despite profitability challenges. Capital expenditures were modest at CNY 4.88 million, indicating restrained investment in growth amid a difficult operating environment.
The company’s diluted EPS of -CNY 134.32 underscores significant earnings pressure, likely due to elevated debt servicing costs and operational inefficiencies. With a high debt load relative to cash reserves, capital efficiency remains a concern. The lack of positive earnings power limits Bright Scholar’s ability to reinvest in growth or stabilize its financial position without external financing.
Bright Scholar’s balance sheet shows CNY 53 million in cash against total debt of CNY 1.51 billion, highlighting a strained liquidity position. The high leverage ratio raises concerns about financial health, particularly given the regulatory uncertainties in China’s education sector. The company’s ability to refinance or reduce debt will be critical to avoiding further distress.
Growth trends are muted, with regulatory headwinds likely constraining enrollment and pricing power. The company has not issued dividends, prioritizing cash preservation over shareholder returns. Future growth may depend on navigating regulatory constraints and optimizing its existing school network rather than aggressive expansion.
The market appears to price Bright Scholar cautiously, reflecting skepticism about its turnaround potential amid sector-wide challenges. The significant net loss and high debt burden suggest subdued investor confidence, with valuation likely factoring in regulatory risks and operational uncertainties.
Bright Scholar’s strategic advantages include its established brand and diversified curriculum offerings, but these are offset by regulatory and financial pressures. The outlook remains uncertain, hinging on regulatory clarity and the company’s ability to adapt its business model. Cost rationalization and debt management will be pivotal to stabilizing operations and restoring investor trust.
Company filings, Bloomberg
show cash flow forecast
Fiscal year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | |
INCOME STATEMENT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue growth rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue, $ | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
EBITDA, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense (income), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings before tax, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax expense, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
BALANCE SHEET | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and short-term investments, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average production assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total debt, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total liabilities, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total equity, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt-to-equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
CASH FLOW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Funds from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maintenance CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
New CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Retained Cash Flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash available for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discount rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PV of cash for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current shareholders' claim on cash, % | NaN |