investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueBerner Kantonalbank AG (BEKN.SW)

Previous CloseCHF322.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF322.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Berner Kantonalbank AG operates as a regional cantonal bank in Switzerland, providing a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services tailored to private individuals and corporate clients. Its core revenue model is built on traditional banking activities, including deposit-taking, lending (particularly mortgages), and asset management, supplemented by fee-based services such as investment advisory and securities trading. The bank serves as a key financial intermediary in the Bern region, leveraging its extensive network of 60 branches to maintain strong local relationships. Berner Kantonalbank distinguishes itself through its focus on personalized financial solutions, including specialized accounts for SMEs, youth, and pension planning, reinforcing its role as a trusted community bank. While it faces competition from larger Swiss banks and digital disruptors, its cantonal status provides stability and a loyal customer base. The bank’s long-standing presence since 1834 underscores its entrenched position in the regional financial ecosystem, balancing traditional banking with modern wealth management services.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In its latest fiscal year, Berner Kantonalbank reported revenue of CHF 562 million, with net income reaching CHF 180.7 million, reflecting steady profitability in a competitive banking environment. The bank’s operating cash flow stood at CHF 420.6 million, indicating robust liquidity generation, while capital expenditures of CHF -41.8 million suggest disciplined investment in infrastructure. Its revenue streams are diversified across interest income, fees, and commissions, though mortgage lending likely dominates given Switzerland’s strong real estate market.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The bank’s earnings power is underpinned by its low-risk regional lending focus and stable deposit base, though diluted EPS data is unavailable. With no reported total debt and CHF 6.73 billion in cash and equivalents, Berner Kantonalbank maintains a conservative balance sheet, prioritizing capital preservation. Its beta of 0.13 highlights minimal volatility relative to the market, aligning with its risk-averse cantonal banking model.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Berner Kantonalbank’s balance sheet reflects strong financial health, with no debt and substantial liquidity (CHF 6.73 billion in cash and equivalents). This conservative structure aligns with its cantonal mandate, emphasizing stability over aggressive leverage. The bank’s capital adequacy ratios, though unspecified, are likely robust given its regulatory environment and focus on low-risk lending, particularly in mortgages and SME financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The bank’s growth is tied to regional economic conditions, with steady but moderate expansion expected. Its dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, offering CHF 10.4 per share, appealing to income-focused investors. While not a high-growth entity, Berner Kantonalbank’s reliability and cantonal backing make it a defensive play in the Swiss financial sector.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CHF 2.32 billion, the bank trades at a premium reflective of its stability and cantonal guarantee. Investors likely value its low-risk profile and consistent dividends, though its regional focus limits upside compared to larger Swiss banks. The absence of debt and strong liquidity further support its defensive valuation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Berner Kantonalbank’s strategic advantages include its entrenched regional presence, cantonal backing, and diversified service offerings. While digitalization poses a challenge, its personalized approach and community trust provide resilience. The outlook remains stable, with growth contingent on regional demand for mortgages and wealth management, though macroeconomic headwinds could pressure margins.

Sources

Company description, financial data from disclosed filings, and market metrics from the Swiss Exchange (SIX).

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount