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Intrinsic Value of BankFinancial Corporation (BFIN)

Previous Close$11.72
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$11.72

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

BankFinancial Corporation operates as a savings and loan holding company, primarily serving customers in the Chicago metropolitan area through its subsidiary, BankFinancial, NA. The company generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, including commercial real estate, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, supplemented by fee-based services such as deposit accounts and wealth management. Its market position is anchored in community banking, emphasizing personalized customer relationships and local market expertise. The competitive landscape includes regional and national banks, but BankFinancial differentiates itself through niche lending and a conservative risk management approach. Its deposit base is largely composed of core customer accounts, providing stable funding. The company’s focus on commercial real estate lending aligns with its regional economic strengths, though it remains exposed to cyclical risks inherent in the sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

BankFinancial reported revenue of $49.2 million for the period, with net income of $4.1 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $0.33. Operating cash flow stood at $7.6 million, reflecting steady liquidity generation. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a lean operational model, typical of asset-light banking operations. Profitability metrics indicate moderate efficiency, though further analysis of net interest margin and cost-to-income ratios would provide deeper insights.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is driven by its loan portfolio, with interest income as the primary contributor. Capital efficiency appears balanced, given its debt-to-equity structure and $38.7 million in total debt. The diluted EPS of $0.33 suggests modest but stable earnings generation, though comparative analysis with peer ROE and ROA would clarify its relative performance.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

BankFinancial’s balance sheet shows $20.6 million in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity coverage. Total debt of $38.7 million is manageable relative to its equity base. The absence of significant capital expenditures underscores a conservative financial strategy. The company’s financial health appears stable, though detailed leverage and liquidity ratios would offer a more comprehensive assessment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are modest, with revenue and net income reflecting steady but not explosive expansion. The dividend payout of $0.40 per share indicates a shareholder-friendly policy, though sustainability depends on future earnings stability. The company’s focus on organic growth in its core markets suggests incremental rather than transformative expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization derived from 12.5 million shares outstanding, the company’s valuation hinges on its regional banking niche. The P/E ratio, based on diluted EPS, suggests market expectations are tempered, aligning with its steady but unspectacular growth profile. Investor sentiment likely reflects cautious optimism given its conservative risk posture.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

BankFinancial’s strategic advantages lie in its localized expertise and conservative lending practices. The outlook remains tied to regional economic conditions, particularly commercial real estate trends. While not immune to macroeconomic headwinds, its disciplined approach positions it for resilience. Long-term success will depend on maintaining asset quality and leveraging its community banking strengths.

Sources

10-K filing, CIK 0001303942

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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