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Intrinsic Value of Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR)

Previous Close$2.52
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$2.52

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in luxury hotels and resorts, primarily in the upper-upscale segment. The company owns and manages high-quality properties in key urban and resort markets across the U.S., leveraging premium locations to drive revenue through room rentals, food and beverage services, and event hosting. Its portfolio includes iconic assets such as the Ritz-Carlton and Marriott-branded properties, which cater to affluent leisure and business travelers. Braemar’s market position is strengthened by its focus on experiential hospitality, targeting demand from high-net-worth individuals and corporate clients. The company competes in a cyclical industry where performance is closely tied to economic conditions and travel trends. Despite sector volatility, Braemar maintains a niche by emphasizing luxury differentiation and operational efficiency through partnerships with leading hotel operators.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Braemar reported revenue of $728.4 million for FY 2024, reflecting its ability to capitalize on recovering travel demand post-pandemic. However, net income stood at -$1.7 million, indicating margin pressures from operating costs or interest expenses. Operating cash flow of $66.8 million suggests core operations remain cash-generative, though profitability metrics warrant scrutiny given the negative bottom line. Capital expenditures were negligible, implying a focus on optimizing existing assets rather than expansion.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of $0.32 highlights modest earnings power relative to its share count. With $123.0 million in total debt against $135.5 million in cash, Braemar’s leverage position is elevated, potentially constraining capital efficiency. The absence of capex signals limited reinvestment, possibly prioritizing debt management over growth initiatives in the near term.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Braemar’s balance sheet shows $135.5 million in cash against $1.23 billion in total debt, underscoring a leveraged position common in the REIT sector. The debt-to-equity ratio suggests reliance on financing, which could amplify risks during economic downturns. Liquidity appears manageable, but sustained cash flow will be critical to meeting obligations and maintaining dividend payouts.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth trajectory is tied to the hospitality sector’s recovery, with revenue trends likely tracking occupancy and average daily rate improvements. Braemar’s $0.78 annual dividend per share indicates a commitment to shareholder returns, though coverage by earnings and cash flow remains a watch item given its negative net income and high leverage.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Braemar’s valuation metrics should be assessed against REIT peers, factoring in its luxury focus and leverage. Market expectations likely hinge on travel demand resilience and the company’s ability to refinance debt at favorable terms. The stock’s yield may appeal to income investors, but sustainability concerns persist.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Braemar’s strategic advantages include its premium asset base and operator partnerships, which provide stability in volatile markets. The outlook depends on macroeconomic conditions, with upside from sustained travel demand and downside risks from interest rate pressures. Operational efficiency and disciplined capital allocation will be key to navigating cyclical headwinds.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001574085), FY 2024 financial data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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