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Intrinsic ValueBiotest AG (BIO.DE)

Previous Close42.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
42.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Biotest AG operates in the biotechnology sector, specializing in the development and commercialization of plasma-derived therapies for hematology, immunology, and intensive care medicine. The company generates revenue through its diversified product portfolio, including treatments for hemophilia, immune deficiencies, and infectious diseases. Its core segments—Therapy, Plasma & Services—leverage proprietary plasma fractionation technologies to produce high-value biologics, positioning Biotest as a niche player in the global plasma therapeutics market. The company serves hospitals, clinics, and specialty pharmacies, with a strong presence in Germany and expanding international operations. Biotest’s acquisition by Grifols, S.A. in 2022 enhances its scale and plasma supply chain, reinforcing its competitive edge in a consolidating industry. Its differentiated products, such as Trimodulin for pneumonia and COVID-19, underscore its innovation focus. However, reliance on plasma collection and regulatory hurdles in biologics manufacturing present ongoing challenges. Biotest’s market position is bolstered by its vertically integrated operations, though it faces competition from larger players like CSL Behring and Takeda.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Biotest reported revenue of €726.2 million in FY 2024, with net income of €26.4 million, reflecting a modest margin of 3.6%. Operating cash flow stood at €60.9 million, supported by disciplined cost management. Capital expenditures of €28.7 million indicate ongoing investments in production capacity, though free cash flow remains constrained. The company’s profitability metrics suggest room for operational improvements, particularly in scaling high-margin therapies.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of €0.71 reflects Biotest’s earnings capacity amid competitive and regulatory pressures. The company’s capital efficiency is moderate, with reinvestment needs balancing growth initiatives. Grifols’ ownership may provide synergies to enhance returns, but near-term earnings are likely weighted toward debt reduction and integration costs.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Biotest holds €107.8 million in cash against total debt of €597.2 million, indicating leveraged financial health post-acquisition. The debt load, while manageable, limits flexibility for aggressive expansion. Liquidity is adequate, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations, but leverage metrics warrant monitoring given industry volatility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth is tied to plasma therapy demand and geographic expansion, though organic growth is tempered by pricing pressures. The nominal dividend of €0.04 per share signals a conservative payout policy, prioritizing reinvestment. Grifols’ stewardship may accelerate growth via shared R&D and plasma sourcing, but near-term dividends are likely subdued.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of €1.44 billion, Biotest trades at ~2x revenue, aligning with mid-cap biotech peers. The low beta (0.085) suggests muted volatility, possibly reflecting Grifols’ stabilizing influence. Investors likely price in long-term synergies, though execution risks persist.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Biotest’s vertical integration and Grifols’ backing provide strategic advantages in plasma supply and R&D. Near-term focus includes debt management and portfolio optimization, while long-term growth hinges on pipeline innovation (e.g., Trimodulin) and international expansion. Regulatory approvals and plasma collection scalability remain critical to outlook.

Sources

Company filings, Grifols investor materials

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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