investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueBaiya International Group Inc. Ordinary Shares (BIYA)

Previous Close$4.38
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$4.38

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Baiya International Group Inc. operates in a niche segment of the international trade and services sector, focusing on specialized product distribution and supply chain solutions. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by transactional sales and service fees, though its exact product or service offerings remain unclear from available disclosures. Its market positioning appears constrained by limited scale, as evidenced by modest revenue figures and negative profitability metrics. The absence of detailed segment reporting makes it difficult to assess competitive advantages or differentiation within its industry. Given the lack of explicit operational details, Baiya International likely competes in a fragmented market with low barriers to entry, which may explain its financial challenges. Further clarity on its core business lines and geographic focus would be necessary to evaluate its long-term viability.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Baiya International reported $11.57 million in revenue for FY2023 but recorded a net loss of $1.02 million, reflecting operational inefficiencies or pricing pressures. The absence of capital expenditures suggests minimal investment in productive assets, while negative operating cash flow of $1.86 million indicates cash burn from core activities. These metrics point to fundamental challenges in converting revenue to sustainable profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of $0 and negative net income demonstrate negligible earnings power under current operations. With no reported share count data, per-share metrics cannot be properly contextualized. The lack of capital expenditures implies either asset-light operations or stagnation, but without positive cash generation, capital efficiency cannot be meaningfully assessed.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows extreme vulnerability with only $31,973 in cash against $722,271 of total debt, creating acute liquidity risk. This precarious position is exacerbated by negative operating cash flow, leaving the company dependent on external financing. No working capital or current ratio data is available to assess short-term solvency.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Historical growth trends cannot be determined without prior period comparisons. The absence of a dividend policy aligns with the company's loss-making status and cash constraints. Future growth prospects appear limited without significant operational restructuring or capital infusion given current financial metrics.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Valuation analysis is impeded by missing share count data and the company's unprofitability. Market expectations likely reflect skepticism given the combination of micro-cap size, financial distress signals, and lack of visible growth drivers. Any premium would require demonstration of viable turnaround prospects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

No discernible strategic advantages are evident from available data. The outlook remains highly uncertain due to the company's weak financial position and unclear business differentiation. Survival may depend on securing new funding or strategic partnerships, though neither appears imminent based on disclosed information.

Sources

SEC filings (CIK: 0001944712), company disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount