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Intrinsic ValueBrenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)

Previous Close$2.88
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$2.88

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Brenmiller Energy Ltd operates in the renewable energy sector, specializing in thermal energy storage solutions designed to optimize industrial and utility-scale energy consumption. The company's core technology, bGen, stores excess energy as heat, which can be dispatched on demand to reduce reliance on fossil fuels and enhance grid stability. Brenmiller targets industries with high thermal energy demands, such as manufacturing and power generation, positioning itself as a disruptor in the transition toward decarbonization. The company's value proposition lies in its ability to lower operational costs for clients while supporting sustainability goals, though its market penetration remains early-stage. Competing against both traditional energy storage providers and emerging green tech firms, Brenmiller must scale deployments to establish a durable competitive edge. Its success hinges on regulatory tailwinds, cost efficiencies, and partnerships with industrial players seeking to reduce carbon footprints.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Brenmiller reported no revenue for the period, reflecting its pre-commercial stage, while net losses widened to $6.77 million. Negative operating cash flow of $9.51 million underscores significant upfront investments in technology and commercialization efforts. Capital expenditures were modest at $343,000, suggesting a focus on operational scalability rather than heavy infrastructure spending.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -$1.29 highlights its current lack of earnings power, typical of early-stage cleantech firms. With negative cash flows and minimal revenue, capital efficiency metrics remain unfavorable, though this is common for companies prioritizing R&D and market entry over near-term profitability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Brenmiller’s liquidity position is constrained, with $4.10 million in cash against $4.82 million in total debt. The limited cash runway and reliance on external funding raise concerns about near-term solvency, necessitating additional capital raises or strategic partnerships to sustain operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is contingent on commercial adoption of its thermal storage systems, with no dividend policy in place. The absence of revenue trends makes it difficult to gauge traction, though the broader energy transition narrative provides a favorable backdrop for long-term demand.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market expectations appear speculative, pricing in future adoption of Brenmiller’s technology rather than current fundamentals. Valuation metrics are inapplicable due to negligible revenue, leaving the stock exposed to sentiment shifts in the cleantech sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Brenmiller’s proprietary thermal storage technology offers a differentiated solution in a niche segment, but execution risks are high. Success depends on securing pilot projects, achieving cost competitiveness, and navigating regulatory frameworks. The outlook remains uncertain, with potential upside tied to industrial decarbonization trends and policy support.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001901215), Brenmiller Energy Ltd financial statements

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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