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Intrinsic Value of Popular, Inc. (BPOP)

Previous Close$113.41
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$113.41

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Popular, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services holding company, primarily through its subsidiary Banco Popular de Puerto Rico. The company provides a comprehensive suite of banking products and services, including retail and commercial banking, mortgage lending, and wealth management. Its core revenue model is driven by net interest income from loans and deposits, supplemented by fee-based services. Popular, Inc. holds a dominant market position in Puerto Rico, where it is the largest bank by deposits and branches, benefiting from strong brand recognition and deep customer relationships. The company also maintains a growing presence in the U.S. mainland, particularly in the New York metropolitan area, targeting the Hispanic community and small-to-medium enterprises. Its competitive edge lies in its localized expertise, bilingual services, and robust digital banking platform, which enhances customer retention and cross-selling opportunities. Despite operating in a competitive and regulated industry, Popular, Inc. has demonstrated resilience through economic cycles, leveraging its diversified revenue streams and prudent risk management practices.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Popular, Inc. reported revenue of $2.68 billion for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, with net income of $614.2 million, reflecting a healthy profit margin of approximately 22.9%. The company's diluted EPS stood at $8.56, indicating strong earnings power. Operating cash flow was $674.7 million, though capital expenditures were negligible, suggesting efficient capital allocation and a focus on organic growth rather than heavy infrastructure investments.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate substantial net income relative to its revenue base. With no significant capital expenditures reported, Popular, Inc. demonstrates high capital efficiency, channeling resources toward core banking operations and shareholder returns. The absence of capex highlights a lean operational model, prioritizing liquidity and profitability over asset-intensive growth.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Popular, Inc. maintains a robust balance sheet, with cash and equivalents totaling $6.8 billion, providing ample liquidity. Total debt of $1.25 billion is manageable relative to its cash position, indicating strong financial health. The company's conservative leverage and high liquidity ratios position it well to navigate economic uncertainties and capitalize on growth opportunities without overextending its financial commitments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends for Popular, Inc. appear stable, supported by its entrenched market position in Puerto Rico and strategic expansion in the U.S. mainland. The company has a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, with a dividend per share of $2.52, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to investors while maintaining sufficient reserves for operational and regulatory requirements.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values Popular, Inc. based on its consistent profitability, strong balance sheet, and regional dominance. With a diluted EPS of $8.56 and a dividend yield that aligns with industry peers, the company is positioned as a reliable performer in the financial sector, though its valuation may be tempered by its geographic concentration in Puerto Rico, which carries inherent economic risks.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Popular, Inc.'s strategic advantages include its leading market share in Puerto Rico, diversified revenue streams, and strong digital banking capabilities. The outlook remains positive, supported by its ability to adapt to regulatory changes and economic shifts. However, the company must continue to manage risks associated with its geographic focus and competitive pressures in the U.S. mainland to sustain long-term growth.

Sources

Company filings, CIK: 0000763901

show cash flow forecast

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