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Intrinsic Value of Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (BZH)

Previous Close$23.58
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$23.58

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Beazer Homes USA, Inc. operates as a residential homebuilder in the United States, focusing on single-family and multi-family housing developments. The company primarily targets entry-level and move-up homebuyers, offering a diversified portfolio of homes across key growth markets. Its revenue model is driven by land acquisition, development, and home construction, with sales generated through both speculative and custom-built projects. Beazer competes in a fragmented industry, leveraging its regional scale and operational efficiency to maintain cost competitiveness. The company differentiates itself through energy-efficient home designs and customer-centric service, aiming to capture demand in suburban and exurban markets. Despite macroeconomic headwinds like interest rate volatility, Beazer maintains a disciplined land acquisition strategy to balance growth and risk. Its market position is mid-tier among national builders, with a focus on affordability and strategic geographic diversification to mitigate localized downturns.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Beazer Homes reported revenue of $2.33 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $140.2 million, reflecting a diluted EPS of $4.53. Operating cash flow was negative at -$137.5 million, likely due to working capital investments in land and construction. Capital expenditures totaled -$22.4 million, indicating moderate reinvestment needs. The company’s profitability metrics suggest operational leverage, though cash flow dynamics warrant monitoring given cyclical industry pressures.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is tied to housing demand and pricing trends, with FY 2024 demonstrating resilience amid sector challenges. Beazer’s capital efficiency is moderated by its asset-heavy model, requiring ongoing land investments. The absence of dividends suggests a focus on retaining capital for growth or debt management, aligning with industry norms for mid-sized builders prioritizing balance sheet flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Beazer’s balance sheet shows $203.9 million in cash against $1.05 billion in total debt, indicating a leveraged position common in homebuilding. The debt load is manageable given the asset-backed nature of the business, but interest rate exposure remains a risk. Liquidity appears adequate for near-term obligations, supported by operating cash flows and access to credit facilities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is contingent on housing market conditions, with Beazer’s recent performance reflecting steady demand for affordable homes. The company does not pay dividends, typical for builders reinvesting in land and development. Future expansion may hinge on geographic penetration and operational scaling, though macroeconomic factors like mortgage rates could influence pace.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from $4.53 EPS, Beazer’s valuation likely reflects cyclical risks and sector comparables. Market expectations appear balanced, pricing in moderate growth prospects amid uncertain interest rate trajectories. The stock’s performance may correlate with broader housing indicators like permits and buyer sentiment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Beazer’s strategic focus on energy efficiency and entry-level buyers positions it for long-term demographic trends. However, the outlook is cautious due to macroeconomic volatility. Advantages include localized market expertise and cost controls, but success will depend on sustaining margins and managing debt in a rising-rate environment.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), CIK 0000915840

show cash flow forecast

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