investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM)

Previous Close$100.52
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$100.52

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. is the largest producer and distributor of fresh shell eggs in the United States, operating in a highly fragmented agricultural sector. The company’s revenue model is primarily driven by egg sales, including specialty eggs such as organic, cage-free, and nutritionally enhanced varieties, which command premium pricing. Cal-Maine benefits from vertical integration, owning production, processing, and distribution facilities, which enhances cost control and supply chain reliability. The company serves retail, foodservice, and export markets, leveraging its extensive distribution network to maintain a dominant market share. Competitive advantages include economies of scale, brand recognition, and compliance with evolving consumer preferences for ethically sourced and sustainable products. Despite cyclical pricing pressures inherent in the commodity egg market, Cal-Maine’s diversified product portfolio and operational efficiency position it as an industry leader.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Cal-Maine reported revenue of $2.33 billion, with net income of $277.9 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 11.9%. Diluted EPS stood at $5.69, demonstrating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $451.4 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures totaled $147.1 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in production capacity and operational upgrades.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to net income, highlighting effective cost management. With no debt on its balance sheet, Cal-Maine maintains exceptional capital efficiency, allowing for flexibility in funding growth initiatives and returning capital to shareholders. The absence of leverage minimizes financial risk and enhances resilience against industry volatility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Cal-Maine’s balance sheet is notably strong, with $237.9 million in cash and equivalents and zero debt, reflecting a conservative financial strategy. This pristine financial position provides ample liquidity to navigate cyclical downturns and capitalize on strategic opportunities. Shareholders’ equity remains robust, further reinforcing the company’s financial stability and low-risk profile.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated consistent growth in specialty egg sales, aligning with shifting consumer preferences. Cal-Maine’s dividend policy is variable, tied to profitability, with FY 2024 dividends totaling $1.89 per share. This approach ensures sustainable payouts while retaining flexibility to reinvest in high-return projects. Long-term growth is supported by expanding production capacity and increasing demand for premium egg products.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Cal-Maine’s valuation reflects its leadership in a stable but cyclical industry, with investors pricing in expectations for steady cash flows and disciplined capital allocation. The market appears to balance the company’s strong balance sheet and profitability against potential volatility in egg prices, resulting in a moderate earnings multiple.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Cal-Maine’s strategic advantages include its scale, vertical integration, and adaptability to regulatory and consumer trends. The outlook remains positive, driven by sustained demand for specialty eggs and operational efficiency. Risks include commodity price fluctuations and regulatory changes, but the company’s financial strength positions it well to manage these challenges and pursue growth opportunities.

Sources

10-K filing, CIK 0000016160

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount