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Intrinsic ValueColibri Resource Corporation (CBI.V)

Previous Close$0.26
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.26

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Colibri Resource Corporation operates as a junior mineral exploration company focused on acquiring and developing mineral properties in Mexico, primarily within the resource-rich Sonora region. The company's core revenue model is predicated on advancing exploration-stage projects to create value through discovery and subsequent partnership or sale, rather than generating operating revenue from production. Its primary asset is the 100% owned Evelyn gold project, a 506-hectare property that represents the flagship exploration target for gold, silver, and copper deposits. Operating in the highly speculative and capital-intensive junior mining sector, Colibri competes for investor capital against numerous other exploration companies, with its market position heavily dependent on technical exploration results and the ability to secure funding for ongoing work programs. The company's strategic focus on Mexico provides exposure to a well-established mining jurisdiction while facing competition from both junior peers and major mining companies active in the region. Success in this sector requires consistent technical execution, prudent capital management, and the ability to demonstrate compelling geological potential to attract investment and strategic partners for project advancement.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

As a pre-revenue exploration company, Colibri generated no operating revenue during the period, which is typical for its development stage. The company reported a net loss of CAD 1.22 million, reflecting the substantial costs associated with mineral exploration activities and corporate overhead. Operating cash flow was negative CAD 820,675, consistent with the cash-intensive nature of early-stage exploration where expenditures significantly outpace any potential income streams from mineral property operations or option agreements.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Colibri's earnings power remains unrealized, with negative EPS of CAD 0.0122 reflecting the exploratory phase of its business cycle. Capital efficiency is measured through exploration progress rather than traditional financial returns, with CAD 280,582 invested in capital expenditures primarily directed toward advancing the Evelyn project. The company's ability to create value depends entirely on successful exploration outcomes that could lead to future resource definition or strategic transactions.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a minimal cash position of CAD 16,346 against total debt of CAD 1.36 million, indicating constrained liquidity for ongoing operations. This financial structure is characteristic of junior explorers that typically require regular equity financings to fund exploration programs. The balance sheet reflects the high-risk profile inherent to mineral exploration, where financial health is contingent upon successful capital raising activities to sustain operations between development milestones.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is measured through exploration advancement rather than financial metrics, with progress dependent on successful drilling results and additional financing. The company maintains a no-dividend policy, consistent with its development-stage status where all available capital is reinvested into exploration activities. Future growth potential hinges on demonstrating economic mineralization at its Evelyn project, which could facilitate joint ventures, asset sales, or further development funding.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CAD 4.62 million, valuation reflects speculative investor expectations regarding the Evelyn project's exploration potential rather than current financial performance. The beta of 1.217 indicates higher volatility than the broader market, typical for junior mining stocks whose values are sensitive to exploration news, commodity prices, and financing activities. Market expectations are primarily tied to technical exploration results and the company's ability to advance its projects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Colibri's strategic position centers on its 100% ownership of the Evelyn project in a proven mining jurisdiction, providing control over exploration and development decisions. The outlook remains highly speculative, dependent on successful exploration outcomes and the company's ability to secure necessary funding. Near-term focus will likely remain on advancing the Evelyn property through targeted exploration programs while managing financial resources carefully in a challenging capital market environment for junior explorers.

Sources

Company public filingsTSXV disclosures

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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