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Intrinsic ValueCibus, Inc. (CBUS)

Previous Close$1.36
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.36

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Cibus, Inc. operates in the agricultural biotechnology sector, specializing in gene-editing technologies to develop sustainable crop traits. The company leverages its proprietary RTDS (Rapid Trait Development System) platform to create high-value traits for crops such as canola, rice, and wheat, targeting yield improvement, disease resistance, and environmental resilience. Unlike traditional GMO approaches, Cibus focuses on non-transgenic gene editing, positioning itself as a leader in precision agriculture with applications for farmers, seed companies, and food producers. The company’s revenue model is primarily driven by licensing agreements and collaborations with agribusiness partners, though commercialization remains in early stages. Cibus competes in a niche but rapidly evolving market, contending with larger biotech firms while differentiating itself through its proprietary technology and focus on regulatory-friendly solutions. Its long-term success hinges on scaling its trait pipeline and securing adoption from major agricultural stakeholders.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Cibus reported modest revenue of $4.3 million for the period, reflecting its early-stage commercialization efforts. The company posted a significant net loss of $251.4 million, driven by high R&D and operational expenses. Operating cash flow was negative at $58 million, while capital expenditures remained minimal at $808,000, indicating a focus on conserving liquidity amid ongoing investments in technology and trait development.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -$0.0108 underscores its current lack of earnings power, typical of a pre-revenue biotech firm. Capital efficiency is constrained by heavy R&D spending, though the absence of substantial capex suggests a lean operational approach. Cibus’s ability to monetize its gene-editing platform will be critical to improving capital returns in the long term.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Cibus holds $14.4 million in cash and equivalents against $36.3 million in total debt, highlighting liquidity constraints. The balance sheet reflects the challenges of funding ongoing operations without consistent revenue streams. Further capital raises or strategic partnerships may be necessary to sustain operations and advance its pipeline.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is tied to the adoption of its gene-edited traits, with no near-term profitability expected. The company does not pay dividends, consistent with its focus on reinvesting resources into R&D and commercialization efforts. Long-term growth prospects depend on regulatory approvals and market acceptance of its technology.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Given its pre-revenue status and high R&D burn rate, traditional valuation metrics are less applicable. Market expectations are likely centered on technological milestones and partnership announcements rather than near-term financial performance. Investor sentiment may fluctuate based on progress in trait commercialization.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Cibus’s RTDS platform provides a competitive edge in precision gene editing, but commercialization risks remain. The outlook hinges on securing additional partnerships, scaling its trait portfolio, and navigating regulatory landscapes. Success will require sustained funding and execution against its long-term pipeline goals.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), CIK 0001705843

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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