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Intrinsic Value of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Previous Close$82.29
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$82.29

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %71.1NaN
Revenue, $11186NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m5789NaN
Operating income, $m5397NaN
EBITDA, $m6247NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m4504NaN
Tax expense, $m1158NaN
Net income, $m3346NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m2323NaN
Total assets, $m13313NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m10990NaN
Average production assets, $m8849NaN
Working capital, $m2678NaN
Total debt, $m3058NaN
Total liabilities, $m5460NaN
Total equity, $m7853NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.389NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.512NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m3346NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m850NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3855NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-452NaN
Free cash flow, $m4307NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m2678
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN

Company description

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products; and compound fertilizer products with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. It primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.
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