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Intrinsic Value of Compugen Ltd. (CGEN)

Previous Close$1.64
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.64

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Compugen Ltd. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company specializing in the discovery and development of novel immuno-oncology therapeutics. The company leverages its proprietary computational discovery platforms to identify and validate new drug targets, focusing on immune checkpoint pathways. Compugen's pipeline includes first-in-class biologics designed to address unmet needs in cancer treatment, positioning it as an innovative player in the competitive immuno-oncology sector. The company primarily generates revenue through strategic collaborations, licensing agreements, and milestone payments from partners. Its lead candidates, such as COM701 and COM902, target novel immune checkpoints, offering potential differentiation in a market dominated by PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors. Compugen operates in a high-growth but capital-intensive industry, where success hinges on clinical validation and commercialization partnerships. The company's niche focus on computationally derived targets provides a unique edge, though it faces significant competition from larger biopharma firms with deeper resources.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Compugen reported revenue of $27.9 million for the period, primarily driven by collaboration agreements. The company posted a net loss of $14.2 million, reflecting ongoing R&D investments. Operating cash flow was positive at $49.6 million, supported by non-recurring items, while capital expenditures remained minimal at $118,000, indicating a lean operational model focused on asset-light drug development.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS stood at -$0.16, underscoring its pre-commercial stage. Compugen's capital efficiency is tied to its ability to advance clinical programs with limited resources, relying heavily on partnerships to share development costs. Its cash position and modest debt suggest manageable near-term liquidity needs, but sustained losses highlight the inherent risks of early-stage biotech investing.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Compugen maintains a conservative balance sheet with $18.2 million in cash and equivalents and $2.9 million in total debt. The low debt level and absence of dividend obligations provide flexibility, though the company's financial health depends on securing additional funding or partnership revenue to sustain operations until key assets achieve commercialization.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth prospects hinge on clinical milestones and partnership expansions, with no current dividend policy. The company's trajectory will likely be determined by pipeline progress, particularly in advancing mid-to-late-stage candidates. Investor returns are contingent on successful trials and subsequent licensing or commercialization deals, typical of development-stage biotech firms.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market valuation reflects Compugen's high-risk, high-reward profile, with investors pricing in potential for clinical breakthroughs. The absence of near-term profitability is offset by speculative upside from its novel pipeline. Comparables suggest the stock trades in line with peers, though volatility is expected given binary clinical outcomes.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Compugen's computational discovery approach and focus on underexplored immune checkpoints provide strategic differentiation. The outlook depends on clinical data readouts and partnership momentum. Success in trials could attract larger collaborators, while setbacks may necessitate additional financing. The company remains a speculative play on innovative cancer therapeutics.

Sources

Company filings, CIK 0001119774

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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