investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueCGG (CGG.PA)

Previous Close0.54
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
0.54

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

CGG operates as a global leader in Earth science, data science, and sensing technologies, primarily serving the energy and natural resources sectors. The company’s business is structured into two key segments: Geology, Geophysics & Reservoir, and Equipment. The former focuses on multi-client seismic surveys, data processing, and geoscience consulting, while the latter manufactures seismic acquisition equipment for land and marine applications. CGG’s diversified revenue model includes licensing proprietary data, selling software solutions like Geovation, and providing high-end equipment under brands such as Sercel. The company has carved a niche in energy transition and digital applications, leveraging its expertise in subsurface imaging and monitoring. Its market position is reinforced by long-standing client relationships and technological innovation, though it remains exposed to cyclical demand in oil and gas exploration. CGG’s ability to adapt to energy transition trends, including carbon capture and renewable energy projects, enhances its resilience in a shifting market landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

CGG reported revenue of €1.08 billion in FY 2023, with a net income of €12.9 million, reflecting modest profitability. Operating cash flow stood at €408.3 million, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. Capital expenditures of €232 million suggest ongoing investments in technology and equipment. The company’s diluted EPS of €0.02 underscores its lean earnings profile, typical of capital-intensive service providers in the energy sector.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

CGG’s earnings power is constrained by the cyclical nature of its end markets, though its diversified offerings mitigate some volatility. The company’s operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures highlights efficient capital deployment. However, its high beta of 2.021 signals significant sensitivity to broader market and energy sector fluctuations, impacting earnings stability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

CGG’s balance sheet shows €282.8 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of €1.3 billion, indicating a leveraged position. The debt load may constrain financial flexibility, though robust operating cash flow provides some cushion. The absence of dividends aligns with its focus on reinvestment and debt management.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is likely tied to energy transition initiatives and digital solutions, though traditional oil and gas demand remains a key driver. CGG does not pay dividends, prioritizing debt reduction and strategic investments. Its market cap of €384.7 million reflects investor caution amid sector headwinds.

Valuation And Market Expectations

CGG’s valuation metrics suggest market skepticism, given its high beta and cyclical exposure. The lack of dividends and leveraged balance sheet may weigh on investor sentiment, though its technology portfolio offers long-term potential.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

CGG’s strengths lie in its technological expertise and diversified service offerings, positioning it for energy transition opportunities. However, its outlook remains tied to oil and gas capex cycles, requiring prudent capital allocation to navigate volatility.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount