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Intrinsic Value of Chemung Financial Corporation (CHMG)

Previous Close$50.42
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$50.42

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Chemung Financial Corporation operates as a regional bank holding company, primarily serving customers in New York and Pennsylvania through its subsidiary, Chemung Canal Trust Company. The company generates revenue through traditional banking activities, including commercial and consumer lending, deposit services, and wealth management. Its market position is anchored in community banking, leveraging localized relationships to compete against larger national institutions. The firm focuses on small to mid-sized businesses and retail clients, differentiating itself through personalized service and regional expertise. With a conservative risk profile, Chemung Financial maintains a stable deposit base and emphasizes prudent underwriting. Its geographic concentration in the Northeastern U.S. provides stability but also limits diversification. The bank’s wealth management division adds fee-based income, complementing its interest-driven core operations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Chemung Financial reported $96.1 million in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $23.7 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 24.6%. Diluted EPS stood at $4.96, demonstrating solid profitability. Operating cash flow of $29.8 million underscores efficient core operations, with no reported capital expenditures, indicating low reinvestment needs. The absence of capex suggests a mature, cash-generative business model focused on organic growth and shareholder returns.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is driven by net interest income, supported by a stable loan portfolio and disciplined cost management. With $47.0 million in cash and equivalents, liquidity is robust, though total debt of $118.5 million indicates moderate leverage. The firm’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to convert revenue into earnings without significant reinvestment, though further details on ROE or ROA would provide deeper insight.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Chemung Financial’s balance sheet shows $47.0 million in cash and equivalents against $118.5 million in total debt, suggesting a manageable leverage ratio. The lack of capex and strong operating cash flow ($29.8 million) support financial flexibility. Shareholders’ equity appears healthy, given net income of $23.7 million and 4.77 million shares outstanding, though total asset and liability figures would clarify overall leverage and liquidity positioning.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth appears steady but modest, with no explicit guidance on expansion. A dividend of $1.54 per share signals a commitment to returning capital, yielding approximately 3.1% at current prices. The payout ratio of roughly 31% (based on EPS) leaves room for reinvestment or future increases, though growth initiatives beyond organic lending remain unspecified.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E of around 10x (assuming a $50 share price), Chemung Financial is valued in line with regional bank peers. The market likely prices in stable but slow growth, given its geographic focus and traditional business model. Higher interest rates could benefit net interest margins, though competition and economic cyclicality pose risks. The dividend yield may attract income-focused investors.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Chemung Financial’s strengths lie in its community-focused approach, conservative risk management, and stable deposit base. Challenges include limited geographic diversification and reliance on interest rate spreads. The outlook is neutral, with earnings likely to remain steady barring macroeconomic shifts. Strategic opportunities may include targeted acquisitions or digital banking enhancements, though the firm’s traditional model prioritizes stability over aggressive growth.

Sources

10-K filing (CIK: 0000763563), company press releases

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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