investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR)

Previous Close$1.48
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.48

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Cheer Holding, Inc. operates in the digital advertising and marketing sector, leveraging advanced data analytics and AI-driven solutions to deliver targeted advertising campaigns. The company primarily generates revenue through its proprietary ad-tech platform, which optimizes ad placements for clients across mobile and web-based ecosystems. Its core services include programmatic advertising, customer acquisition, and performance-based marketing, catering to a diverse clientele in high-growth digital markets. Cheer Holding differentiates itself through its proprietary algorithms and real-time bidding capabilities, positioning it as a competitive player in the fragmented digital ad space. The company’s focus on measurable ROI for advertisers strengthens its value proposition, particularly in emerging markets where digital penetration is accelerating. While it faces competition from global ad-tech giants, its niche expertise in localized campaigns and cost-efficient solutions provides a defensible market position.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Cheer Holding reported revenue of $147.2 million for the period, with net income of $25.97 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 17.6%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.58, indicating strong earnings power relative to its share count. Operating cash flow was $22.88 million, supported by efficient working capital management, while minimal capital expenditures ($1,000) suggest a capital-light business model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates solid earnings power, with its net income translating to a high return on equity, given its modest debt levels. Its capital efficiency is underscored by negligible capex requirements, allowing for strong free cash flow generation. The absence of significant reinvestment needs suggests a mature operational model with scalable margins.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Cheer Holding maintains a strong balance sheet, with cash and equivalents of $197.66 million, significantly outweighing total debt of $11.32 million. This liquidity position provides ample flexibility for strategic initiatives or potential acquisitions. The low leverage ratio indicates minimal financial risk, reinforcing the company’s stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are not explicitly provided, but the company’s profitability metrics suggest efficient scaling. Cheer Holding does not currently pay dividends, opting instead to retain earnings for potential growth opportunities or share repurchases, aligning with its capital-light structure.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap derived from its outstanding shares and current earnings, the company trades at a P/E multiple that reflects its profitability and cash-rich position. Investor expectations likely hinge on its ability to sustain margins and capitalize on digital advertising tailwinds, particularly in underserved markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Cheer Holding’s strategic advantages lie in its proprietary ad-tech platform and focus on high-margin performance marketing. The outlook remains positive, contingent on its ability to maintain technological differentiation and expand its client base. Risks include ad-spend cyclicality and competition, but its strong balance sheet provides a buffer against market volatility.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001738758), disclosed financials for FY ending 2024-12-31

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount