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Intrinsic Value of Chanson International Holding (CHSN)

Previous Close$0.12
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.12

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Chanson International Holding operates in the food and beverage industry, specializing in bakery and café products. The company generates revenue through direct sales of baked goods, beverages, and light meals, primarily targeting urban consumers in China. Its vertically integrated model includes in-house production, retail outlets, and franchising, allowing for cost control and brand consistency. Chanson competes in a fragmented market dominated by local players and international chains, positioning itself as a mid-tier provider with a focus on quality and affordability. The company leverages its regional presence to maintain customer loyalty while exploring expansion opportunities in adjacent markets. Its ability to adapt to local tastes and preferences provides a competitive edge in a highly dynamic sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Chanson reported revenue of $18.2 million for FY 2024, with net income of $756,285, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.1%. Operating cash flow stood at $3.5 million, indicating healthy liquidity generation. Capital expenditures of $583,313 suggest moderate reinvestment in operations. The company’s diluted EPS of $0.05 underscores modest but positive earnings power relative to its share count.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its operational cash flow, which exceeds net income, indicating non-cash adjustments or working capital benefits. With $12.1 million in cash and equivalents, Chanson maintains a solid liquidity buffer, though its total debt of $13.0 million suggests a leveraged balance sheet. The absence of dividends implies retained earnings are being reinvested into growth or debt management.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Chanson’s balance sheet shows $12.1 million in cash against $13.0 million in total debt, resulting in a near-neutral net debt position. The company’s financial health appears stable, with sufficient liquidity to meet short-term obligations. However, the debt load relative to equity warrants monitoring, especially in a competitive and capital-intensive industry.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are not explicitly provided, but the company’s capital expenditures and lack of dividends suggest a focus on reinvestment rather than shareholder payouts. Expansion efforts, if any, would likely be funded through operating cash flow or additional debt. The absence of a dividend policy aligns with its growth-oriented strategy.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a diluted EPS of $0.05 and 16.4 million shares outstanding, Chanson’s market valuation would depend heavily on growth prospects and sector multiples. The company’s modest profitability and leveraged balance sheet may temper investor expectations unless operational improvements or expansion initiatives materialize.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Chanson’s regional brand recognition and vertically integrated model provide cost and quality advantages. However, its outlook hinges on execution in a competitive market, debt management, and potential expansion. Macroeconomic factors, including consumer spending trends in China, will significantly influence its performance. The company’s ability to scale while maintaining margins will be critical to long-term success.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001825349)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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