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Intrinsic Value of Chewy, Inc. (CHWY)

Previous Close$41.29
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$41.29

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Chewy, Inc. operates as a leading pure-play e-commerce platform specializing in pet food, supplies, and healthcare products. The company serves a highly engaged customer base through its direct-to-consumer model, leveraging subscription services like Autoship to drive recurring revenue. Chewy differentiates itself with a customer-centric approach, offering 24/7 veterinary telehealth, personalized product recommendations, and fast shipping. The pet care industry is resilient, benefiting from long-term trends like humanization and premiumization, positioning Chewy as a key player in the growing $100B+ U.S. pet market. Its vertically integrated supply chain and proprietary technology stack enhance operational efficiency, while partnerships with veterinarians and pet brands strengthen its ecosystem. Despite competition from Amazon and big-box retailers, Chewy maintains a defensible niche through superior service, specialized inventory, and strong brand loyalty among pet owners.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Chewy reported $11.86B in revenue for FY2025, reflecting steady growth in its active customer base and average spend per customer. Net income reached $392.7M, with diluted EPS of $0.91, marking a significant improvement in profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $596.3M, supported by disciplined cost management and scale benefits. Capital expenditures of $143.8M indicate continued investment in fulfillment infrastructure and technology to sustain growth.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates improving earnings power, with net income margins expanding to 3.3%. Strong operating cash flow conversion highlights efficient working capital management, particularly in inventory turnover. Chewy’s capital-light model allows it to scale profitably, with reinvestment focused on high-return initiatives like private-label expansion and automation in fulfillment centers.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Chewy maintains a solid balance sheet with $595.8M in cash and equivalents against $502.4M of total debt, reflecting a manageable leverage position. The company has no significant near-term maturities, providing flexibility. Liquidity is further supported by strong free cash flow generation, enabling continued growth investments without reliance on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth is driven by customer acquisition and deepening engagement, with Autoship accounting for over 70% of sales. Chewy does not pay dividends, opting to reinvest cash flows into market expansion and innovation. The company’s addressable market remains underpenetrated, with opportunities in healthcare services and international expansion longer-term.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Chewy trades at a premium to traditional retailers, reflecting its growth profile and recurring revenue model. Investors appear to price in sustained mid-teens revenue growth and further margin expansion as scale benefits accrue. Key risks include competition and potential moderation in pet spending cyclicality.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Chewy’s competitive moat lies in its specialized focus, sticky Autoship program, and vertically integrated logistics. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on pet care tailwinds, though macroeconomic pressures could weigh on discretionary spending. Initiatives like Compounded by Chewy (pharmacy) and CarePlus insurance signal diversification beyond retail, reinforcing long-term optionality.

Sources

Chewy FY2025 10-K, Investor Presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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