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Intrinsic ValueAlcanna Inc. (CLIQ.TO)

Previous Close$9.05
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$9.05

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Alcanna Inc. operates as a specialty retailer in the North American alcohol and cannabis markets, with a strong regional presence in Alberta and British Columbia. The company's core revenue model is built on retailing wines, beers, spirits, and cannabis products through its 176 alcohol locations and 53 cannabis retail stores. Its dual focus on traditional liquor and emerging cannabis segments positions it uniquely in the consumer cyclical sector. Alcanna benefits from established supply chains and regulatory expertise in Canada's tightly controlled alcohol distribution system, while its cannabis retail footprint capitalizes on the growing legalization trend. The company's market position is reinforced by its scale in Western Canada, though it faces competition from both large national chains and local independents. Its subsidiary relationship with Sundial Growers Inc. provides potential synergies in the cannabis vertical, though integration risks remain.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Alcanna reported FY2020 revenue of CAD 680.3 million with net income of CAD 68.3 million, reflecting a 10% net margin. The diluted EPS of CAD 1.7 demonstrates solid earnings conversion from its retail operations. Operating cash flow of CAD 46.5 million against capital expenditures of CAD 13.7 million indicates efficient working capital management in its store network.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power benefits from its established alcohol retail business, while cannabis operations show growth potential. With CAD 60.7 million in cash against CAD 310.9 million total debt, leverage appears elevated, though the alcohol segment's stable cash flows provide debt service capacity. The capital structure reflects ongoing investments in cannabis retail expansion.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Alcanna's balance sheet shows CAD 60.7 million in cash equivalents against total debt of CAD 310.9 million, indicating moderate leverage. The 1.64 beta suggests higher volatility versus the market, likely reflecting cannabis sector exposure. Liquidity appears adequate with positive operating cash flow covering interest obligations and expansion needs.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company paid an unusually high dividend of CAD 15.42 per share in FY2020, likely reflecting special distributions. Future dividend sustainability remains uncertain given the capital requirements for cannabis retail expansion and the sector's competitive dynamics. Growth will depend on successful execution in both mature alcohol and emerging cannabis markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

As a subsidiary post-acquisition, traditional valuation metrics are less applicable. The market previously priced Alcanna with elevated volatility (beta 1.64), reflecting its hybrid alcohol-cannabis profile. Investors likely valued its established cash flows against cannabis growth optionality prior to the Sundial transaction.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Alcanna's key advantages include its Western Canadian retail footprint and regulatory expertise in controlled substance distribution. The Sundial acquisition provides vertical integration potential but introduces execution risks. The outlook depends on cannabis retail scaling and alcohol segment stability, amid changing regulatory environments in both industries.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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