investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueCMO Group PLC (CMO.L)

Previous Close£5.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£5.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

CMO Group PLC is a UK-based online retailer specializing in building materials and home improvement supplies, catering to both tradespeople and homeowners. The company operates a portfolio of niche e-commerce platforms, including Roofingsuperstore.co.uk, Drainagesuperstore.co.uk, and Tileandfloorsuperstore.co.uk, which focus on specific product categories. This segmented approach allows CMO to target distinct customer needs while maintaining a broad market presence. The company competes in the fragmented UK home improvement sector, where it differentiates itself through digital-first convenience, competitive pricing, and a curated selection of trade-grade products. Despite macroeconomic headwinds affecting consumer discretionary spending, CMO’s online model provides scalability and cost advantages over traditional brick-and-mortar rivals. Its focus on trade professionals—a more resilient customer segment—adds stability to its revenue streams. However, the company faces intense competition from larger omnichannel retailers and must continually invest in platform efficiency and customer acquisition to sustain growth.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

CMO Group reported revenue of £71.5 million (GBp 7,150,386,100) for FY 2023, though it posted a net loss of £1.8 million (GBp -183,479,800), reflecting margin pressures and operational costs. Positive operating cash flow of £2.3 million (GBp 234,019,400) suggests underlying operational efficiency, but profitability challenges persist due to competitive pricing and elevated marketing expenses. Capital expenditures remained modest at £50,000 (GBp -49,866), indicating a lean asset model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -2.55p (GBp -0.0255) underscores earnings weakness, likely tied to market conditions and investment in digital infrastructure. With no dividend payouts, CMO retains cash to fund growth initiatives. Its capital-light model supports reasonable cash generation, but improving return on invested capital will be critical to justify further equity investments.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

CMO holds £4.7 million (GBp 468,088,300) in cash against £6.4 million (GBp 6,386,559) of total debt, indicating manageable leverage. The balance sheet remains liquid, though sustained losses could strain liquidity if not reversed. The absence of dividends aligns with a focus on preserving capital during this challenging phase.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been tempered by macroeconomic softness in the UK home improvement sector. The company has yet to establish a dividend policy, prioritizing reinvestment to capture online market share. Future growth hinges on scaling its trade-focused platforms and optimizing customer acquisition costs in a competitive digital landscape.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of £3.96 million (GBp 395,833,300) and a beta of 0.325, CMO trades as a low-volatility micro-cap stock. The valuation reflects skepticism about near-term profitability, though its niche focus and cash flow potential could attract investors if execution improves.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

CMO’s strategic edge lies in its specialized e-commerce platforms and trade customer base, which offer resilience against DIY market fluctuations. Success depends on balancing growth investments with cost discipline, while navigating sector competition and economic uncertainty. The outlook remains cautious but could improve with operational streamlining and market share gains.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount