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Intrinsic Value of Compass Diversified (CODI)

Previous Close$6.27
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.27

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Compass Diversified (CODI) operates as a holding company with a diversified portfolio of middle-market businesses across niche industrial, branded consumer, and healthcare sectors. The company generates revenue through ownership stakes in subsidiaries, leveraging a long-term investment approach to drive organic growth and strategic acquisitions. CODI’s model emphasizes operational autonomy for its subsidiaries while providing centralized capital allocation and financial oversight. This structure allows it to capitalize on fragmented markets where smaller firms benefit from scale and resources. The company’s subsidiaries operate in defensible niches with strong brand equity or proprietary technologies, reinforcing competitive moats. CODI’s market positioning is distinct as it combines private equity-like discipline with the transparency of a publicly traded entity, appealing to investors seeking diversified exposure to resilient middle-market businesses.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, CODI reported revenue of $2.20 billion, reflecting its diversified industrial and consumer portfolio. Net income stood at $12.8 million, with diluted EPS of $0.23, indicating modest profitability amid operational challenges. Negative operating cash flow of $67.6 million and capital expenditures of $56.7 million suggest reinvestment needs or working capital pressures. The company’s efficiency metrics warrant closer scrutiny given these cash flow dynamics.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

CODI’s earnings power appears constrained, with diluted EPS of $0.23 reflecting margin pressures or one-time costs. The negative operating cash flow raises questions about sustainable capital efficiency, though this may stem from timing differences or strategic investments. The dividend payout of $1.99 per share suggests a reliance on non-operating cash flows or balance sheet flexibility to maintain shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

CODI’s balance sheet shows $59.7 million in cash against $1.77 billion in total debt, indicating leveraged positioning. The debt load may constrain financial flexibility, though the holding company structure could provide subsidiary-level insulation. Investors should monitor covenant compliance and refinancing risks given the current interest rate environment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

CODI’s growth trajectory appears muted, with limited net income expansion. The $1.99 annual dividend per share implies a high payout ratio relative to earnings, potentially unsustainable without portfolio monetization or debt refinancing. Future growth may hinge on accretive acquisitions or operational improvements across subsidiaries.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices CODI based on sum-of-the-parts valuation, factoring in subsidiary performance and dividend sustainability. Current metrics suggest investor patience for long-term value realization, with potential discounts applied for leverage and cash flow volatility.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

CODI’s diversified model provides recession resilience but demands active portfolio management. Success hinges on identifying undervalued acquisitions and optimizing subsidiary performance. Near-term challenges include debt servicing and cash flow generation, while long-term upside depends on strategic divestitures or IPO exits for mature holdings.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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