investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Compass, Inc. (COMP)

Previous Close$6.67
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.67

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Compass, Inc. operates as a technology-driven real estate platform, integrating brokerage services with proprietary software to streamline transactions for agents and clients. The company generates revenue primarily through commissions on residential real estate sales, leveraging its digital tools to enhance efficiency and customer experience. Compass competes in the highly fragmented U.S. real estate market, positioning itself as a disruptor by combining traditional brokerage with advanced data analytics and mobile-first solutions. Its platform supports agents with lead generation, marketing automation, and transaction management, aiming to reduce friction in the homebuying process. While the company has scaled rapidly, it faces intense competition from established brokerages and emerging proptech firms, requiring continuous innovation to maintain its growth trajectory. Compass’s market position hinges on its ability to attract top-tier agents and sustain technological differentiation in a cyclical industry sensitive to macroeconomic conditions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Compass reported revenue of $5.63 billion for FY 2024, reflecting its substantial scale in the real estate brokerage sector. However, the company posted a net loss of $154.4 million, with diluted EPS of -$0.31, indicating ongoing profitability challenges despite revenue growth. Operating cash flow was positive at $121.5 million, suggesting some operational efficiency, though capital expenditures of $15.7 million highlight continued investment in technology and infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative net income underscores persistent earnings pressure, likely due to high agent compensation costs and competitive market dynamics. While operating cash flow is positive, capital efficiency remains a concern as Compass balances growth investments against profitability goals. The absence of dividends aligns with its focus on reinvesting cash flows into scaling operations and technology enhancements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Compass holds $223.8 million in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity to navigate market fluctuations. Total debt stands at $497.6 million, which is manageable relative to its cash position but warrants monitoring given the company’s unprofitability. The balance sheet reflects a growth-stage firm prioritizing expansion over near-term deleveraging, with financial health contingent on improving operational margins.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends indicate robust top-line growth, though profitability lags due to industry-wide cost pressures. Compass does not currently pay dividends, reinvesting resources into agent acquisition and platform development. Future growth may hinge on market share gains and operational leverage, but macroeconomic risks, such as interest rate volatility, could temper near-term performance.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Compass as a high-growth, tech-enabled real estate play, with valuation metrics reflecting expectations for future margin expansion. Investors may focus on the company’s ability to translate revenue scale into sustainable profitability, particularly as it navigates cyclical headwinds in the housing market.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Compass’s strategic advantage lies in its integrated platform, which combines brokerage services with proprietary technology to differentiate from traditional competitors. The outlook depends on execution in agent retention, cost management, and technological innovation. Success in these areas could position the company for long-term leadership, though macroeconomic and competitive pressures remain key risks.

Sources

10-K filing, CIK 0001563190

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount