investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Coupang, Inc. (CPNG)

Previous Close$30.61
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$30.61

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Coupang, Inc. operates as a leading e-commerce platform in South Korea, leveraging a vertically integrated model to dominate the online retail sector. The company’s core revenue streams include direct sales, third-party marketplace fees, and subscription services like Rocket WOW, which offers fast delivery and exclusive benefits. Coupang’s logistics network, powered by proprietary technology and fulfillment centers, ensures next-day or same-day delivery, setting it apart in a highly competitive market. The company also diversifies into adjacent sectors such as digital payments (Coupang Pay) and grocery delivery (Coupang Eats), reinforcing its ecosystem. With a strong focus on customer experience and operational efficiency, Coupang has cemented its position as South Korea’s largest e-commerce player, outpacing traditional retailers and global competitors. Its aggressive expansion into fintech and fresh grocery delivery further solidifies its market leadership and long-term growth potential.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Coupang reported revenue of $30.3 billion for FY 2024, reflecting robust growth in its e-commerce and ancillary services. Net income stood at $154 million, marking a significant improvement in profitability, while diluted EPS reached $0.0843. Operating cash flow was strong at $1.89 billion, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures totaled $879 million, underscoring continued investments in logistics and technology to sustain competitive advantages.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is bolstered by its scalable platform and high-margin services like advertising and subscriptions. Operating cash flow conversion remains healthy, driven by disciplined cost controls and revenue diversification. Coupang’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to grow profitability while reinvesting in high-return initiatives, such as automation and last-mile delivery enhancements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Coupang maintains a solid balance sheet with $5.88 billion in cash and equivalents, providing ample liquidity for growth and debt obligations. Total debt stands at $3.73 billion, reflecting manageable leverage. The company’s strong cash position and improving profitability suggest financial resilience, though ongoing capex demands warrant monitoring.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Coupang’s growth is fueled by e-commerce penetration in South Korea and expansion into high-potential adjacencies like fintech and grocery. The company does not currently pay dividends, opting instead to reinvest cash flows into market share gains and technological innovation. Future dividend potential may emerge as profitability stabilizes.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Coupang for its dominant position in South Korea’s e-commerce sector and long-term ecosystem potential. Investors anticipate sustained revenue growth and margin expansion, though competitive pressures and regulatory risks remain key considerations. Valuation multiples reflect optimism about its ability to maintain leadership and monetize new services.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Coupang’s strategic advantages include its unrivaled logistics network, customer-centric approach, and diversified revenue streams. The outlook remains positive, with growth initiatives in fintech and grocery likely to drive future earnings. However, execution risks and macroeconomic headwinds in South Korea could pose challenges. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on digital commerce trends, but sustained innovation will be critical.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount