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Intrinsic Value of Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI)

Previous Close$16.54
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$16.54

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Capri Holdings Limited operates as a global fashion luxury group, owning iconic brands such as Michael Kors, Versace, and Jimmy Choo. The company generates revenue through the design, marketing, and distribution of premium apparel, accessories, and footwear, targeting affluent consumers across retail, wholesale, and e-commerce channels. Its diversified brand portfolio allows it to cater to different luxury segments, from accessible luxury (Michael Kors) to high-end couture (Versace). Capri competes in the intensely competitive global luxury market, where brand prestige, exclusivity, and innovation drive consumer demand. The company leverages its strong brand equity and omnichannel distribution to maintain market share, though it faces challenges from shifting consumer preferences and macroeconomic pressures affecting discretionary spending. Strategic investments in digital transformation and direct-to-consumer expansion aim to enhance long-term competitiveness in an evolving retail landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Capri Holdings reported revenue of $5.17 billion for FY2024, reflecting the company's scale in the luxury sector. However, net income was negative at -$229 million, with diluted EPS of -$1.96, indicating profitability challenges amid elevated costs and restructuring efforts. Operating cash flow stood at $309 million, supported by working capital management, while capital expenditures of -$189 million suggest disciplined investment in growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's negative earnings highlight pressures on margins, likely due to inflationary costs and brand repositioning. Operating cash flow, though positive, may not fully offset debt servicing needs given the $3.58 billion total debt load. Capital efficiency metrics remain under scrutiny as Capri balances reinvestment requirements with profitability recovery.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Capri's balance sheet shows $199 million in cash against $3.58 billion in total debt, indicating leveraged financial positioning. The high debt level raises liquidity concerns, though the absence of dividends preserves cash. Asset-light operations and brand intangible value provide some flexibility, but deleveraging will be critical to improving financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends reflect macroeconomic headwinds in the luxury sector, with no dividend payments signaling a focus on debt reduction and operational turnaround. Growth hinges on successful brand repositioning and direct-to-consumer expansion, particularly in underpenetrated markets like Asia. The company’s ability to reignite top-line growth while controlling costs will determine its trajectory.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market expectations appear subdued given profitability challenges and high leverage. The stock’s valuation likely discounts near-term risks, with potential upside tied to successful execution of turnaround strategies. Comparables in the luxury sector suggest investor patience is required for a sustained recovery.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Capri’s multi-brand structure offers diversification benefits, with Versace and Jimmy Choo providing exposure to higher-margin segments. Strategic priorities include enhancing digital capabilities and optimizing the store footprint. The outlook remains cautious, with success dependent on brand revitalization and improved operational efficiency in a competitive luxury market.

Sources

Company 10-K (CIK: 0001530721), Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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